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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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PitchBook: in H1 2022, VC funding fell 8% YoY to $147.7B, pushing US startups to raise $17.1B in debt, up 7.5% YoY

Bloomberg : Tweets: @isachindeshwal and @burnettgracem Tweets: Sachin Deshwal / @isachindeshwal : The companies are taking on more debt, bringing new risks and dynamics to an industry emerging from a decade-long boom. https://www.bloomberg.com/... Grace Maral Burnett / @burnettgracem : Venture debt “[v]olumes in the US hit $17.1 billion in the first six months of 2022, up 7.5% from the same period in 2021. VC funding is down 8% over the same period to $147.7 billion.” via @business: https://www.bloomberg.com/... https://twitter.com/...

Bloomberg

Context & Ripple Effects

The arc here runs from boom to squeeze: US VC funding hit a then-record $130B in 2020, kept climbing through 2021, and by mid-2022 the equity tap was closing — PitchBook counted the biggest early-stage decline since 2010 as Series A and B rounds fell 22% YoY in Q2 2022. This report captures the same half-year from the founder's side of the table: with equity harder to raise, US startups borrowed $17.1B in venture debt, up 7.5% YoY, even as total VC funding slipped 8% to $147.7B.

What followed validates the signal. Full-year 2022 data showed deal value down 30% and exit value collapsing 91%, and by 2023 US VC investment had fallen to its lowest level since 2019 — meaning the startups that swapped equity for debt in H1 2022 did so right before both their next round and their exit window got dramatically harder.

First-order effects

  • Startups facing thinner equity rounds substituted venture debt for dilution, shifting $17.1B of H1 2022 financing onto balance sheets that now carry repayment obligations alongside growth targets.
  • Venture lenders gained bargaining power at exactly the moment equity investors pulled back, letting them price tighter terms into a market where founders had fewer alternatives.

Second-order effects

  • Debt raised on 2021-era valuations now collides with an exit market that shrank 91% in 2022, forcing companies to choose between refinancing, cutting burn, or defaulting rather than exiting their way out.
  • Equity investors face stacked claims: every dollar of venture debt sits ahead of them in the capital structure, making later-stage rounds harder to price and pushing some VCs toward rescue financings or structured deals.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds across cycles, the startup capital stack permanently layers debt under equity — founders and boards treat borrowing as a routine bridge tool, not an emergency measure, changing how downturns propagate through portfolios.
  • A larger venture-debt book concentrated among fewer lenders creates a new systemic node: stress at those lenders would transmit to startups faster than equity-market weakness ever did.

The trend: Venture financing is rotating from an equity-only boom into a mixed debt-and-equity system, with debt volumes rising precisely as equity rounds contract.

Discussion

  • @isachindeshwal Sachin Deshwal on x
    The companies are taking on more debt, bringing new risks and dynamics to an industry emerging from a decade-long boom. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @burnettgracem Grace Maral Burnett on x
    Venture debt “[v]olumes in the US hit $17.1 billion in the first six months of 2022, up 7.5% from the same period in 2021. VC funding is down 8% over the same period to $147.7 billion.” via @business: https://www.bloomberg.com/... https://twitter.com/...