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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Report: VC funding in the US reached a record high of $130B in 2020, up 14% YoY, but the total number of deals fell to 6,022, down for the second year in a row

Bloomberg Lizette Chapman

Context & Ripple Effects

The 2020 numbers extend a pattern the related coverage has tracked since 2017: dollars up, deals down. US VC funding climbed from $84B across 8,076 deals in 2017 to $99.5B across just 5,536 deals in 2018, and now hits a record $130B on 6,022 deals — the second consecutive annual decline in deal count.

Within the year, the arc was a dip and rebound: Q2 saw investment fall 23% YoY before activity picked up from mid-May as the government stimulus package rolled out, per the mid-year deal-count report. The full-year record therefore rests on bigger checks into fewer companies rather than broad-based activity.

First-order effects

  • Capital concentrates further at the top: with 6,022 deals absorbing a record $130B, average check size rises sharply, and late-stage/mega rounds take a growing share while fewer early-stage companies get funded at all.
  • Founders outside the favored cohort face a thinner market — the second straight year of falling deal count means more startups competing for a shrinking number of term sheets.

Second-order effects

  • Competition among VCs for the shrinking pool of fundable deals bids up valuations on proven winners, reinforcing a winner-take-most dynamic inside funds' portfolios.
  • Seed and Series A investors feel the squeeze first: as large funds chase fewer, bigger deals, early-stage pricing and access diverge from the headline funding totals.

Third-order effects

  • A barbell market takes shape — record aggregate dollars alongside multi-year deal-count declines — which is precisely the structure that amplifies downturns when sentiment flips, as the later collapse to $238.3B in 2022 and the 30% drop to $170.6B in 2023 would show.
  • If the pattern holds, VC consolidates around fewer, larger funds writing outsized checks, narrowing the on-ramp for new companies and reshaping which categories of startup can raise at all.

The trend: US venture capital is concentrating into fewer, larger rounds each year — record dollars masking a multi-year decline in deal count that sets up sharper corrections when the cycle turns.