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PitchBook: VCs invested ~$16B in US Series A and B rounds in Q2 2022, down 22% YoY, the biggest decline in early-stage funding since 2010, excluding Q2 2020

Berber Jin / Wall Street Journal :

Wall Street Journal Berber Jin

Context & Ripple Effects

This PitchBook datapoint landed a week after CB Insights measured a 23% quarter-over-quarter drop in global VC activity between Q1 and Q2 2022 — but it matters more, because Series A and B rounds are where the downturn reaches companies too young to have raised at 2021's peak valuations.

What followed confirmed it was a cycle, not a blip: VC firms raised just $20.6B in new funds in Q4 2022, down 65% YoY, and by year-end 2023 US investment had fallen to its lowest level since 2019 per PitchBook's annual tally.

First-order effects

  • Series A and B founders raising in H2 2022 face the tightest early-stage market in over a decade, with VCs repricing rounds against the 22% YoY drop rather than 2021 comparables.
  • Early-stage-focused funds see their deal pipelines thin immediately, since the $16B quarterly total leaves less room for new commitments while existing portfolio companies consume follow-on capital.

Second-order effects

  • LPs respond to deteriorating early-stage marks by cutting new fund commitments — the pattern Preqin captured when Q4 2022 fundraising hit its lowest Q4 level since 2013 across just 226 funds.
  • Seed and angel activity contracts as the A/B squeeze cascades down the funnel, leaving fewer companies positioned to raise their next round at all.

Third-order effects

  • The contraction compounds structurally: with US VCs returning only $26B to investors in 2023 — the least since 2011 per PitchBook — and Q3 2024 deal volume still falling 32% QoQ because exits remain scarce, the industry is deploying far more than it collects, extending the reset well beyond a single bad quarter.

The trend: Venture capital moved from peak-cycle deployment into a multi-year contraction in which scarce exits suppress both fund returns and new early-stage deal-making.

Discussion

  • @ninaachadjian Nina Achadjian on x
    Enjoyed our conversation @berber_jin1 @WSJ, thank you! The fundraising slowdown is real but VC funds are sitting on record amounts of capital committed by LPs last year so still a great opportunity for outstanding companies to raise in this environment. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @berber_jin1 Berber Jin on x
    early-stage funding for U.S. startups down 22% year-over-year, the biggest decrease in over a decade with the exception of a pandemic-related pause in Q2 2022 https://www.wsj.com/...