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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Source: private equity firm Thoma Bravo has a team working on a potential Twitter bid; the firm owns McAfee and Landesk, and is acquiring Sailpoint and Anaplan

Josh Kosman / New York Post :

New York Post Josh Kosman

Context & Ripple Effects

Thoma Bravo has spent years assembling exactly the war chest this bid would need: it raised $35B for tech buyouts and closed deals like Proofpoint for $12.3B and SailPoint for $6.9B in quick succession. What makes the reported Twitter work notable is the target type — every prior move in the firm's arc, from early McAfee talks through Sophos, Proofpoint, SailPoint, and Anaplan, sits in enterprise software and security.

First-order effects

  • Twitter gains another credible suitor at a moment when its sale process is live, giving the board a financing-heavy alternative to any single-buyer outcome.
  • Thoma Bravo would be stretching its operating model — built on security and SaaS assets like Proofpoint and SailPoint — onto an ad-funded consumer platform for the first time in this coverage.

Second-order effects

  • A deep-pocketed PE entrant raises the clearing price for Twitter, pressuring the strategic buyers who circled it in 2016, when Salesforce and Google were named as suitors, to decide whether they will pay up or walk.
  • Rival mega-funds watching the $35B raise now face pressure to deploy into large-cap tech targets before Thoma Bravo locks up the marquee asset.

Third-order effects

  • If a firm whose identity is enterprise-software roll-ups bids for a consumer network, the boundary between LBO targets and strategic-platform acquisitions blurs — mega-fund scale becomes the gating factor for which public tech companies can be taken private at all.

The trend: Mega-fund private equity is graduating from enterprise software roll-ups toward large-cap consumer platforms, with Thoma Bravo's fund size setting the pace.

Discussion

  • @newsismybusines @newsismybusines on x
    If true, and it closes, the deal would put Puerto Rican Executive Orlando Bravo at the helm of Twitter. https://twitter.com/...