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Tim Cook says supply shortages will likely impact the Mac and iPad lineups in Q3 due to “legacy node” chip production that uses older manufacturing methods

Apple just reported record earnings for Q2 2021, but the company is also warning of supply shortages affecting the Mac and iPad lineups.

9to5Mac Chance Miller

Context & Ripple Effects

Reports earlier in April had already tied postponed MacBook and iPad production to the broader component shortage; Apple is now formally identifying older-process chip production as a Q3 constraint. The warning matters because it moves the issue from isolated production reports to Apple’s own outlook for two major device lines.

The subsequent warning that constraints would worsen into Q4 shows that the shortage was not resolved within the quarter Apple initially flagged, extending the pressure from Macs and iPads toward iPhone and iPad sales.

First-order effects

  • Apple faces constrained Mac and iPad availability in Q3, limiting the company’s ability to turn demand into shipments for those lineups.
  • Mac and iPad buyers face tighter product supply as Apple allocates components made on legacy manufacturing nodes.

Second-order effects

  • Apple’s component suppliers and assembly partners must manage production around scarce legacy-node parts rather than demand alone, following the earlier reported postponements.
  • The later Q4 warning indicates that Apple’s supply planning had to account for constraints spreading beyond the initially affected Mac and iPad categories.

Third-order effects

  • Apple’s experience points to a semiconductor supply chain in which mature-process capacity can constrain finished devices even when the affected products are not defined by the newest chips.
  • If shortages persist across product cycles, device makers will place greater strategic weight on securing capacity for legacy components alongside leading-edge silicon.

The trend: Mature-node semiconductor capacity is becoming a product-shipment constraint for major electronics makers, not merely a back-end sourcing issue.

Discussion

  • @stephennellis Stephen Nellis on x
    .$AAPL CEO Tim Cook says Apple chip shortages are centered on “legacy nodes.” Those are the same older-technology chip factories hobbling the automotive industry, including slashing Ford $F production in half. Read @benklayman for the Ford story - https://www.reuters.com/...
  • @munster_gene Gene Munster on x
    2) While that's bad news in the near term, the good news is Mac and iPad will eventually regain supply, and should benefit for years as businesses and students equip for the hybrid status quo.
  • @munster_gene Gene Munster on x
    1) We're working on our Apple model and factoring in Cook's comment to expect a $3-4B supply constraint headwind to Mac and iPad in June. Looks like we'll be lowering our numbers in those segments by about 15%.
  • @stevesi Steven Sinofsky on x
    Apple: Mac revenue: $9.1B, +70.1% YoY iPad revenue: $7.8B, +78.9% YoY Insane. Biggest Mac quarter ever. It shows just how loyal/strong the customer base is in the desire to move to M1. And this quarter has the new iMac. And M1 iPad...
  • @neilcybart Neil Cybart on x
    Half of people buying iPads and Macs are new to the product categories. It's been that way for a while now and it's still a shocking statistic.
  • @greengart Avi Greengart on x
    @BenBajarin @Bajarin @AAPLTree So Apple was able to secure all the 5nm it might need for its SoC because it bought up all the supply well in advance, but can't get enough disk controllers or display drivers etc. due to cross-industry demand?