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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Sources: Stripe is in early funding talks with investors that would value it between $70B and $100B; Stripe was last valued at $36B in April

- Valuation could double — or more — valuation in April round  — Payment processing software maker competes with Square, Paypal

Bloomberg

Context & Ripple Effects

Stripe's last primary round priced it at $36B in April 2020 — a mark set just as payments volumes wobbled — and investors have been repricing it ever since through secondaries rather than new money. This Bloomberg report of early talks at $70B–$100B is the first sign that gap is being formalized into a primary round.

The competitive frame matters: Stripe processes payments head-to-head with Square and PayPal, both public companies whose valuations the market checks daily. A private Stripe doubling or tripling its paper value widens the information gap between how the market prices it versus its listed rivals.

First-order effects

  • Stripe's existing holders see their April stake marked up two-to-three times if the round lands anywhere in the $70B–$100B band, while new investors buy into one of the few late-stage assets large enough to absorb nine-figure checks.

Second-order effects

  • Square and PayPal now compete against a privately-held rival whose valuation is set by negotiated rounds instead of daily trading — pressure on both to argue their own payments franchises are undervalued relative to Stripe's private mark.

Third-order effects

The trend: Payment infrastructure leaders are staying private longer, with secondary and tender markets — not public listings — setting the marks that anchor the sector's perceived value.

Discussion

  • @eringriffith Erin Griffith on x
    Wow - Stripe was already the most valuable startup in Silicon Valley (if you count SpaceX as LA) Now they're reportedly in talks to double or nearly triple their valuation 📈📈📈https:// www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @nmoryl Nicholas Moryl on x
    @rabois doing the C at north of $1B looking like one of the smartest investments of his career. Absolutely not obvious at the time that this would be the future. https://twitter.com/...
  • @ricburton Richard Burton on x
    PayPal is worth $240 billion Shopify is worth $120 billion Stripe is worth way more than $70 billion in my opinion https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @quinnypig Corey Quinn on x
    The thing I like most about @Stripe is that they did this by fixing the problem (basically “money doesn't have an API"). They didn't flout labor laws. Their founders aren't on record berating people who work for them. They just solve an expensive problem super well.
  • @sonalibasak Sonali Basak on x
    Stripe is one of the most valuable private companies in the world. It may now also be on track to become more valuable than Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @caseynewton Casey Newton on x
    I think it's harder to make the case that Stripe *isn't* worth $70 billion than the case that it is. https://twitter.com/...
  • @fedporn Fed Porn on x
    How many payment companies do we need??? https://twitter.com/...
  • @jowens510 Jeremy C. Owens on x
    At a valuation of $70B, Stripe would be worth roughly 1/4 of PayPal and about the same as Square a month ago ($SQ up 15% in that time) https://twitter.com/...
  • @levie Aaron Levie on x
    @CaseyNewton Now just *imagine* what it would be with stripe stories
  • @katie_roof @katie_roof on x
    Stripe could be on its way to centicorn status 🤪https://www.bloomberg.com/ ...
  • @rstephens Robert Stephens on x
    The only people not surprised: developers who use Stripe. https://twitter.com/...