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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Source: Stripe is valued at $115B in “secondary market” transactions, up 3x on its $36B valuation in April 2020, and is planning a round with a $100B+ valuation

Investors are valuing Stripe at a $115 billion valuation in “secondary market” transactions, where shares … Tweets: @alexrkonrad and @kateclarktweets . Thanks: @alexrkonrad Tweets: Alex Konrad / @alexrkonrad : scoop from @JeffKauflin: investors are now valuing Stripe at $115B on secondary markets amid talks of a much-rumored eventual fundraise https://www.forbes.com/... tip @techmeme Kate Clark / @kateclarktweets : I've heard as high as $130 billion. Crazy times. https://twitter.com/... Thanks: @alexrkonrad

Forbes Jeff Kauflin

Context & Ripple Effects

Stripe's private-market climb has been steep and fast: Patrick Collison raised $245M at a $20B valuation in September 2018, and by November 2020 the company was only in early talks about a round between $70B and $100B. Today's report shows secondary buyers have blown past that range entirely, marking Stripe at $115B — triple its April 2020 price — before any new primary money changes hands.

The gap matters because secondaries are setting the price the primary round will have to meet: Stripe is reportedly planning a fundraise targeting $100B+. The later record confirms both directions of this dynamic — the eventual round landed near $95B before Thrive-led talks at $55B–$60B in January 2023 marked the correction, and by 2026 an employee share sale at $159B showed the secondary channel again leading the primary marks.

First-order effects

  • Existing Stripe shareholders selling on the secondary market capture roughly 3x the April 2020 valuation without waiting for an IPO or a priced round, while the planned $100B+ fundraise would convert that paper markup into official primary pricing.

Second-order effects

  • A $100B+ primary round would reset the comp set for every large late-stage fintech raise, forcing investors who passed on the $70B–$100B talks last November to re-underwrite payments infrastructure at triple-digit valuations.

Third-order effects

  • Secondary markets are becoming the de facto price-discovery mechanism for mega-private companies — running ahead of primaries on the way up (as here) and correcting them on the way down, which widens the valuation-to-liquidity gap that defines late-stage private markets.

The trend: Private-company price discovery is migrating from primary rounds to secondary transactions, with Stripe's trajectory from $20B to $159B showing secondaries leading each leg.