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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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American political candidates are having to improvise as campaigning moves entirely online, with down-ballot hopefuls starting to look a lot like influencers

of course every campaign wants to “go viral” but there's a huge diff btwn what Kennedy is doing, per this piece (FB live) and Markey (meme-ing himself on twitter) both “viral” but among diff ppl https://www.theverge.com/... Southpaw / @nycsouthpaw : Would make a certain amount of sense if politics was the one way to monetize a twitter account https://twitter.com/... B-Boy Bouiebaisse / @jbouie : i have to think we are less than a decade away from candidates actually just hiring influencers as campaign consultants. https://twitter.com/... Makena Kelly / @kellymakena : Really since Obama's '08, the internet has become incredibly important for politicians. But there have been fast and slow adopters. The pandemic is forcing candidates to speedrun a digital strategy they may not have relied on so heavily before. https://www.theverge.com/... Taylor Lorenz / @taylorlorenz : Candidates can't campaign, so they're trying to go viral. Excellent story by @kellymakena https://www.theverge.com/...

The Verge Makena Kelly

Context & Ripple Effects

The pandemic had already forced US races off the trail weeks earlier, when COVID-19 confinement moved political campaigning entirely online and left campaign staff anxious about how to reach voters. This piece captures what that improvisation looks like in practice: in the Massachusetts Senate primary, Joe Kennedy III works Facebook Live while Ed Markey memes himself on Twitter — both chasing virality, but among visibly different audiences.

The reach gap isn't only a down-ballot problem: an analysis days earlier flagged Joe Biden's 32,000-subscriber YouTube channel as a weakness against Trump's online operation. Commentators in the thread go further, predicting candidates will soon hire influencers outright as campaign consultants.

First-order effects

  • Kennedy and Markey are now competing on audience-building rather than event turnout, each optimizing a different platform's format — long-form Facebook Live versus self-aware Twitter memes — which rewards very different candidate skill sets.
  • Down-ballot hopefuls without TV budgets have to staff for content production — filming, editing, posting cadence — capabilities traditional campaign operations were never built around.

Second-order effects

  • The consultant market tilts toward creators: months later, researchers documented candidates and PACs increasingly paying influencers directly as platforms clamped down on bots and political ads.
  • Platform policy becomes a budget variable — after Facebook and Google restricted political advertising, campaigns shifted marketing dollars toward email lists, influencers, and other channels where organic reach still worked ([[a:963051]]).

Third-order effects

  • Political persuasion migrates from paid targeting to earned distribution through creator networks, so platform policy decisions — not campaign treasuries — become the binding constraint on which candidates get heard.
  • If the pattern holds, the candidate-as-content-creator model hardens into standard practice; by 2022, analysts concluded Meta political ads offered poor ROI anyway, validating the pivot away from paid placement ([[a:983511]]).

The trend: Campaign communication is consolidating around creator-style organic distribution, with platform policy rather than ad budgets determining which candidates reach voters.

Discussion

  • @kevinroose Kevin Roose on x
    It's wild how most of the savvy “how to get elected” advice in 2020 boils down to “bend your entire messaging strategy and campaign apparatus around the whims of 2, possibly 3 inscrutable feed-ranking algorithms.” https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @davidaxelrod David Axelrod on x
    COVID-19 is transforming everything, including the limitations it places on campaigning. But, as I and @davidplouffe write here, the changes it is forcing on @JoeBiden and his campaign may also provide him a decisive edge in the fall. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @krystalball Krystal Ball on x
    Plouffe and Axelrod sounding the alarm about Biden's basement campaign and lack of understanding of today's media landscape. https://www.nytimes.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @matthewstoller Matt Stoller on x
    These guys have earned the right to second guess and I haven't, but campaigns seem wildly overrated in importance. Biden's strategy of “Be picked by Obama in 2008 for the VP slot and otherwise be mostly lazy and out of sight” has worked. https://twitter.com/...
  • @joncoopertweets Jon Cooper on x
    What Joe Biden Needs to Do to Beat Trump To win, he has to find a way to get beyond the basement tapes and project himself into our ever more digital world. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @davidplouffe David Plouffe on x
    .⁦@JoeBiden⁩ is the man for this moment. ⁦@jomalleydillon⁩ is the woman to lead him to victory. Some thoughts from ⁦@davidaxelrod⁩ and me about how to fully maximize Trump's decline and campaigning in a world where everything has changed https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @monicacklein Monica Klein on x
    Wild that our Dem nominee requires these comms-101 tips: - “establish a unique content calendar” - “utilize surrogates” - deploy facts “at lightning speed” https://twitter.com/...
  • @nytopinion @nytopinion on x
    “As with every other facet of our lives, the Covid-19 pandemic has transformed how the presidential race will be run,” @DavidAxelrod and @DavidPlouffe write. “Every aspect of campaigning must be rethought.” https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @jyarvin Jessica Yarvin on x
    coronavirus has accelerated the shift to digital campaigning—of course every campaign wants to “go viral” but there's a huge diff btwn what Kennedy is doing, per this piece (FB live) and Markey (meme-ing himself on twitter) both “viral” but among diff ppl https://www.theverge.com…
  • @nycsouthpaw Southpaw on x
    Would make a certain amount of sense if politics was the one way to monetize a twitter account https://twitter.com/...
  • @jbouie B-Boy Bouiebaisse on x
    i have to think we are less than a decade away from candidates actually just hiring influencers as campaign consultants. https://twitter.com/...
  • @kellymakena Makena Kelly on x
    Really since Obama's '08, the internet has become incredibly important for politicians. But there have been fast and slow adopters. The pandemic is forcing candidates to speedrun a digital strategy they may not have relied on so heavily before. https://www.theverge.com/...
  • @taylorlorenz Taylor Lorenz on x
    Candidates can't campaign, so they're trying to go viral. Excellent story by @kellymakena https://www.theverge.com/...