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Sources: Intel may start shipping a portion of Apple's lowest-end M chips as early as 2027; Apple is evaluating Intel's 18A process for the chip production

Intel expected to begin shipping Apple's lowest-end M processor as early as 2027 There have long been market rumors that Intel could become an advanced-node foundry supplier to Apple, but visibility around this had remained low. My latest industry surveys, however, indicate that

@mingchikuo

Context & Ripple Effects

Apple’s chip strategy began with its move to internally designed Mac processors, then expanded alongside reported plans for increasingly advanced Mac chip production. This report introduces a potential manufacturing split: Apple is evaluating Intel’s 18A process for a portion of its entry-level M lineup.

The idea gained operational weight in later coverage that Intel had begun testing production for low-end and legacy Apple processors. That sequence frames the 18A evaluation as part of Apple’s effort to add manufacturing optionality rather than alter its in-house silicon strategy.

First-order effects

  • Apple and Intel would begin technical and commercial qualification around Intel’s 18A process for a limited slice of M-chip output; any initial Intel shipments would be confined to the lowest-end products.
  • Intel gains a prospective external customer for its advanced-node foundry business, while Apple gains a potential additional production path for M chips.

Second-order effects

  • A credible Intel supply option would give Apple more leverage and flexibility in allocating chip production, particularly for lower-end parts that can be separated from the highest-performance designs.
  • The reported move would raise the competitive bar for incumbent manufacturing partners: retaining Apple volume would depend not only on process technology but also on capacity availability and product segmentation.

Third-order effects

  • If qualification converts into sustained volume, Apple’s chip supply chain could evolve from a concentrated manufacturing model toward selective second-sourcing by product tier.
  • The broader implication is that advanced foundry competition may increasingly be decided by customers’ need for resilient capacity, not solely by leading-edge process claims; execution remains the key uncertainty.

The trend: This is one data point in the shift toward second-sourcing compute components as major device makers seek to insulate product roadmaps from concentrated advanced-chip capacity.

Discussion

  • @benbajarin Ben Bajarin on x
    If our Intel foundry model is even ballpark correct, an Apple deal for 15-20m chip (assuming monolithic) is enough to guarantee 14A even if it is on 18A-P. That said, we still have a high degree of confidence that Intel has more customers coming for foundry 18A-P and 14A.
  • @theaustinlyons Austin Lyons on x
    “For Intel, the significance of securing advanced process orders from Apple far exceeds the actual contribution of this order to revenue and profits.” Nailed it. It's like venture investors—no one wants to go first, but then everyone will follow.
  • @mweinbach Max Weinbach on x
    Was talking about this a few weeks ago in my theory was they would start on the low end chips and keep high end at TSMC The base A and base M series make most sense, while Pro/Max/Ultra deserve more advanced nodes. I don't think Apple would move those away for a while, if ever.
  • r/intelstock r on reddit
    Intel expected to begin shipping Apple's lowest-end M processor as early as 2027