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Chronicles

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The European Commission drops plans to impose a digital tax on tech giants in its upcoming 2028-2034 budget proposal, amid ongoing EU-US trade negotiations

After seeing Trump escalate with 🇨🇦 after Carney retaliated against 🇺🇸, it appears our president here in Europe has decided to preemptively surrender.  —  When will this continent grow a spine? Christian Thiels / @christianthiels : “The European Commission has dropped plans to levy a tax on digital companies, a move that hands victory to Donald Trump and U.S. tech giants like Apple and Meta.”  —  @politico.eu  —  www.politico.eu/article/vict... @atchijov : Bad move... EU will gain nothing out of it. X: @researchqf : This is a big give by EU (if true and stands). What did EU get in return? Melinda St. Louis / @melindapubcit : The only “victory” here is for tech bro billionaires. If the EU thinks this will make Trump back down on tariff bullying, they should give Canada a ring — they just got slapped with a 35% tariff AFTER caving in on the same handouts to big tech CEOs. Egle Markeviciute / @markeviciute : “Hands victory to Donald Trump” is a bit of an overstatement: 1.  Introducing EU-wide digital service taxes would require difficult negotiations (despite all the Greenland comments making the Nordics, for example, think twice) that the EU cannot afford within the framework of the MFF (IMHO).  Some EU Member States have already introduced digital services taxes, some are planning to - seems like it's the new course of action for some... @netchoice : NetChoice Applauds President Trump for Standing Up for American Success Against Harmful EU Digital Taxes WASHINGTON—Today, the European Union dropped its plans for a harmful digital tax on American companies due to President Donald Trump's consistent leadership on the issue. [image] LinkedIn: Sebastiano Toffaletti : No #tradedeal can excuse the EU's digital surrender to the US  —  ✋The EU faces a digital services trade imbalance of several hundred billion euros per year with the US. … Forums: r/EU_Economics : Brussels plans new tax on big companies to boost EU budget r/europeanunion : Victory for Trump as EU backs down on digital taxes in next budget r/worldnews : Victory for Trump as EU backs down on digital taxes in next budget

Politico Gregorio Sorgi

Context & Ripple Effects

The Commission’s retreat revives a long-running pattern: it previously postponed an EU digital-tax plan while policymakers prioritized a G20 route. The immediate setting is more overtly trade-driven, after Canada rescinded its digital services tax as talks with Washington resumed.

Digital services had also been presented as part of the EU’s possible response to U.S. tariffs by France. Removing the levy from the next long-term budget proposal therefore matters beyond tax design: it takes a politically sensitive instrument off the table during EU-U.S. negotiations.

First-order effects

  • The Commission’s 2028-2034 budget proposal will not include the planned EU-wide levy, removing a prospective direct charge for large digital companies including Apple and Meta.
  • EU-U.S. trade negotiators gain a concrete de-escalatory signal, while the Commission gives up a proposed fiscal tool in the current negotiations.

Second-order effects

Third-order effects

  • If digital levies continue to be withdrawn or deferred under trade pressure, taxation of cross-border digital platforms is likely to be governed more by bilateral bargaining than by EU-wide budget policy.
  • That would make a durable multilateral tax arrangement more important, but the corpus does not establish whether the EU’s decision produces one or merely postpones the issue again.

The trend: Digital-platform taxation is increasingly functioning as a bargaining chip in trade negotiations rather than a standalone source of public revenue.

Discussion

  • @glynmoody Glyn Moody on bluesky
    Victory for Trump as EU backs down on #digitaltaxes in next budget - www.politico.eu/article/vict... have they understood nothing? #trump will take this for weakness, and will demand more...
  • @davekeating.substack.com Dave Keating on bluesky
    🇪🇺President Von der Leyen might as well be calling Trump “daddy”.  —  After seeing Trump escalate with 🇨🇦 after Carney retaliated against 🇺🇸, it appears our president here in Europe has decided to preemptively surrender.  —  When will this continent grow a spine?
  • @christianthiels Christian Thiels on bluesky
    “The European Commission has dropped plans to levy a tax on digital companies, a move that hands victory to Donald Trump and U.S. tech giants like Apple and Meta.”  —  @politico.eu  —  www.politico.eu/article/vict...
  • @atchijov @atchijov on bluesky
    Bad move... EU will gain nothing out of it.
  • @researchqf @researchqf on x
    This is a big give by EU (if true and stands). What did EU get in return?
  • @melindapubcit Melinda St. Louis on x
    The only “victory” here is for tech bro billionaires. If the EU thinks this will make Trump back down on tariff bullying, they should give Canada a ring — they just got slapped with a 35% tariff AFTER caving in on the same handouts to big tech CEOs.
  • @markeviciute Egle Markeviciute on x
    “Hands victory to Donald Trump” is a bit of an overstatement: 1.  Introducing EU-wide digital service taxes would require difficult negotiations (despite all the Greenland comments making the Nordics, for example, think twice) that the EU cannot afford within the framework of the…
  • @netchoice @netchoice on x
    NetChoice Applauds President Trump for Standing Up for American Success Against Harmful EU Digital Taxes WASHINGTON—Today, the European Union dropped its plans for a harmful digital tax on American companies due to President Donald Trump's consistent leadership on the issue. [ima…
  • r/EU_Economics r on reddit
    Brussels plans new tax on big companies to boost EU budget
  • r/europeanunion r on reddit
    Victory for Trump as EU backs down on digital taxes in next budget
  • r/worldnews r on reddit
    Victory for Trump as EU backs down on digital taxes in next budget