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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Apple Q2: iPhone up 2% YoY to $46.84B, vs. $45.84B est., Mac up 7% to $7.95B, iPad up 15% to $6.4B, and Wearables, Home, and Accessories down 5% to $7.52B

Apple reported second fiscal-quarter earnings Thursday that beat Wall Street expectations, but the company's closely-watched Services division came up light versus estimates.

CNBC Kif Leswing

Context & Ripple Effects

Apple’s earlier fiscal-Q2 coverage showed a sharply weaker Mac and iPad base, with Mac and iPad revenue declines in 2023 alongside modest iPhone growth. This quarter reverses that hardware mix for Macs and iPads while leaving the wearables/home/accessories category weaker.

The result also fits a longer run of uneven category performance: the subsequent 2023 Q4 report again showed declines in Macs, iPads, and wearables even as iPhone revenue grew. That makes the Services shortfall important because it limits the extent to which non-hardware revenue can smooth product-cycle volatility.

First-order effects

  • Apple’s earnings beat is supported by growth across iPhone, Mac, and iPad, while Wearables, Home and Accessories contracts; the immediate hardware readout is therefore broad but uneven.
  • Services missing estimates creates a counterweight to the headline earnings beat, focusing attention on the pace of Apple’s recurring-revenue business rather than hardware sales alone.

Second-order effects

  • The contrasting category results sharpen the importance of product-specific demand and refresh cycles for Apple’s hardware planning, rather than allowing the company to rely on a uniform device-market recovery.
  • A weaker wearables/home/accessories result can temper the benefit to the accessory ecosystem even as stronger Mac and iPad sales support their respective component and peripheral demand.

Third-order effects

  • If these alternating category swings persist, Apple’s growth profile will be increasingly shaped by staggered device cycles, making diversification across hardware lines useful but not necessarily stabilizing quarter to quarter.
  • The Services miss underscores that recurring revenue is not automatically insulated from expectation risk; investors may continue to judge Apple on execution across both installed-base monetization and hardware demand.

The trend: Apple is navigating a more uneven, category-by-category device cycle in which recurring-services execution is increasingly important to offset hardware volatility.

Discussion

  • @munster_gene Gene Munster on x
    The only disappointment segment was wearables. Missed Street by 7%. Down 5% year over year. AirPods (4% of overall revenue) have become a replacement business.
  • @neilcybart Neil Cybart on x
    Apple's wearables results continuing to drag. Upgrading dynamics making it difficult to report unit sales growth for Apple Watch and AirPods. Wearables not being upgraded as frequently as iPhones.
  • r/technology r on reddit
    Apple CEO Tim Cook says tariffs to add $900M in costs in Q3, but future uncertain.
  • r/politics r on reddit
    Apple shares fall as Cook says ‘very difficult’ to predict tariff costs beyond June - Apple is already sourcing about half of the iPhones for the U.S. from India …
  • r/wallstreetbets r on reddit
    Apple revenue tops Wall Street expectations but Services division disappoints