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iPhone 7 Plus outsold 7 in the US in the first 48 hours of availability, Slice Intelligence analysis of 32k receipts suggests

Taylor Stanton / Slice Intelligence :

Slice Intelligence Taylor Stanton

Context & Ripple Effects

Slice Intelligence's read of 32k US receipts puts the iPhone 7 Plus ahead of the iPhone 7 in the first 48 hours of availability — an early signal that buyers were trading up to the larger screen and dual camera rather than settling for the base model. The related coverage shows this wasn't a one-off launch quirk: a year later, CIRP found the iPhone X alone took roughly 30% of US iPhone sales in its first month, and Kuo reported the iPhone XS Max far outselling the smaller XS with storage upgrades driving shortages.

The pattern also held outside the US — Counterpoint's market data had the iPhone 7 Plus as the second-best selling phone in China last year, behind only the OPPO R9s, with the standard iPhone 7 down in fifth. Together these data points sketch a consistent arc: Apple's largest, priciest models keep becoming the volume leaders.

First-order effects

  • Apple's launch-quarter revenue mix tilts toward the higher-priced Plus tier from day one, since the bigger model is out-selling the base phone rather than acting as a niche upsell.
  • Retailers and carriers face immediate inventory pressure on the 7 Plus specifically, with early demand concentrated in the variant that carries the dual camera.

Second-order effects

  • Component and assembly allocation shifts toward the Plus's bill of materials, forcing Apple to balance supply between two models whose demand ratio contradicts the usual base-model-dominates assumption.
  • Rivals reading the same signal — Samsung among them, given the Galaxy S6 edge+ ties the 7 Plus in ACSI satisfaction rankings per the related data — have more reason to push their own large-screen flagships as the primary volume play.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds across cycles — as the XS Max and iPhone X data suggest it did — the structural outcome is that the 'Plus' or Max tier stops being an upsell and becomes the de facto flagship, compressing the role of the standard model to entry-level duty.
  • Average selling price becomes the metric that matters more than unit share, rewarding whichever vendor can anchor its lineup around the top of the size range.

The trend: US smartphone demand is steadily concentrating in the largest-screen, highest-price model of each flagship line, turning the big-phone tier into the real volume leader.