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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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IoT Analytics: Nvidia, whose Q1 data center revenue grew 427% YoY to $22.6B, has 90%+ market share for data center GPUs, as Intel and AMD scrap for second place

or at least gain ground on — Nvidia, the U.S. chipmaker that has become synonymous with the AI boom. https://asia.nikkei.com/... Aaron Levie / @levie : These 2 numbers have never been next to each other in the history of capitalism ["Nvidia said its data center category rose 427% from the year-ago quarter to $22.6 billion in revenue. “]

Nikkei Asia

Context & Ripple Effects

Nvidia’s data-center business had already accelerated sharply, with Q2 2023 data-center revenue rising 171% year over year. The reported Q1 result extends that arc from rapid growth to a market structure in which one supplier holds a commanding share.

The story matters because it ties Nvidia’s revenue surge to more than broad AI demand: the reported 90%+ share indicates that demand is concentrating in Nvidia’s data-center GPU platform while AMD and Intel compete from a much smaller base.

First-order effects

  • Nvidia gains exceptional near-term leverage over data-center GPU sales, as a $22.6B quarterly data-center business and 90%+ reported share translate AI infrastructure demand directly into its revenue.
  • AMD and Intel face a market where the immediate contest is for share outside Nvidia’s installed and purchasing base, rather than leadership of the category.

Second-order effects

  • Cloud operators and other GPU buyers have fewer scaled alternatives, strengthening Nvidia’s position in infrastructure purchasing decisions and making competitors’ ability to offer viable substitutes more consequential.
  • The gap raises the stakes for AMD and Intel to turn product efforts into data-center revenue; later coverage shows AMD moving ahead of Intel in data-center revenue, underscoring that the challenger race can reorder even while Nvidia remains dominant.

Third-order effects

  • If this concentration persists, AI infrastructure spending will increasingly be shaped by a small number of GPU-platform supply choices rather than by a broadly balanced accelerator market.
  • The longer-term constraint on Nvidia’s dominance is whether rivals can convert demand for alternatives into sustained deployments; the reported share shows that revenue growth alone is not yet evidence of a more competitive market.

The trend: This is a data point in the AI infrastructure supercycle, where surging accelerator demand is concentrating revenue and platform influence in the leading GPU supplier.

Discussion

  • @luokai @luokai on threads
    Nvidia is worth more than Amazon and Tesla combined!  - Quarterly Earnings and Revenue Growth: Nvidia reported a staggering 262% YoY reaching $26 Billion in Q1 FY 25 (i.e. Feb-Apr 2024).  Most of this growth is driven by Nvidia's Data Center segment, reaching quarterly revenue of…
  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on x
    This is nuts to me.  I'd never have predicted this outcome if asked on any day of the past twenty years.  [Market capitalization - Alphabet: $2.17T, Nvidia - 2.62T]
  • @nikkeiasia @nikkeiasia on x
    Nvidia now controls more than 90% of the market for the graphic processing units used in data centers. And that lead is expected to grow later this year. https://asia.nikkei.com/... [image]
  • @nikkeiasia @nikkeiasia on x
    Nvidia saw $22.6 billion in data center revenue in the latest quarter alone, an astonishing 427% year-on-year jump. For rivals, figures like that present a massive mountain to climb. Read more: https://asia.nikkei.com/... [image]
  • @nikkeiasia @nikkeiasia on x
    Rivals are accelerating their push to dethrone — or at least gain ground on — Nvidia, the U.S. chipmaker that has become synonymous with the AI boom. https://asia.nikkei.com/...
  • @levie Aaron Levie on x
    These 2 numbers have never been next to each other in the history of capitalism ["Nvidia said its data center category rose 427% from the year-ago quarter to $22.6 billion in revenue. “]