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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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A look at the race among chip giants to make 2nm chips, as Samsung and Intel identify the next leap in chip manufacturing as a chance to close the gap with TSMC

TSMC, Samsung and Intel battle to create ‘2 nanometre’ chips in moves that will shape the future of $500bn industry

Financial Times

Context & Ripple Effects

The 2nm contest follows a manufacturing race in which Samsung reached 3nm production first, while TSMC subsequently began mass-producing 3nm chips in Taiwan. TSMC's lead has been defined by its continuing push toward smaller, more power-efficient processes, a lead rivals have been trying to erode.

For Samsung, 2nm is also a test of whether published process roadmaps can translate into a stronger competitive position after reported losses of major chip customers to TSMC. Intel and Samsung are treating the next node transition as a chance to reset that hierarchy.

First-order effects

  • Samsung and Intel must turn 2nm development into credible production capability if they are to narrow TSMC's process-technology advantage.
  • TSMC faces more focused pressure at the leading edge, where customer confidence depends on both chip performance and the ability to manufacture at scale.

Second-order effects

  • Major chip buyers gain more potential leverage in negotiations if Samsung or Intel can offer a viable alternative to TSMC at 2nm.
  • The race raises the value of execution across advanced-process capacity and manufacturing know-how, rather than making node announcements alone decisive.

Third-order effects

  • If more than one foundry reaches reliable leading-edge production, the industry could become less concentrated around a single process leader; failure by challengers would reinforce that concentration.
  • The pattern points to competition shifting from being first to announce a node toward sustaining a repeatable cadence of advanced-node delivery.

The trend: The 2nm race is part of a broader contest to diversify leading-edge chip manufacturing while preserving the scale and execution needed to deliver each new process generation.

Discussion

  • @tech_reve @tech_reve on x
    FT: Qualcomm is planning to use Samsung Foundry's SF2 process for the next-generation smartphone processors. Well... I mentioned this at least several months ago. :) https://www.ft.com/...
  • @tanarrowz @tanarrowz on x
    according to two people close to Samsung, the yield rate of its simplest 3nm chip is just 60%, well below customer expectations and likely to fall further when producing more complex chips equivalent to Apple's A17 Pro or Nvidia's graphic processing units.https://www.ft.com/...