TSMC founder Morris Chang says the company expects competition from Intel and others, and Japan and Singapore have the best chance of winning in the chip race
Cheng Ting-Fang / Nikkei Asia :
Context & Ripple Effects
Chang’s assessment follows his earlier view that semiconductor globalization was ending, shifting the competitive frame from a single global manufacturing market toward regionally backed chip ecosystems.
It also builds on coverage of TSMC’s central role in the tech Cold War, while later comments that the company faces more severe growth challenges as semiconductor free trade falters reinforce why prospective rivals and locations matter.
First-order effects
- Intel gains explicit recognition from TSMC’s founder as a prospective competitor, adding weight to the view that TSMC’s leadership will be contested rather than assumed.
- Japan and Singapore are singled out as the most credible places to advance in the chip race, concentrating attention on their ability to turn policy and industrial support into manufacturing capability.
Second-order effects
- Other chipmakers and governments face pressure to differentiate through technology, capacity, or ecosystem support if Japan and Singapore become the leading alternatives to Taiwan-centered production.
- Customers seeking supply resilience have a clearer rationale to evaluate manufacturing and packaging options across multiple Asian hubs, rather than treating TSMC as the sole strategic reference point.
Third-order effects
- The industry may become more regionally organized: competitive advantage will depend not only on process technology but also on whether national ecosystems can sustain fabs, suppliers, and customers through cyclical demand shifts.
- This is an early signal of a broader fragmentation risk in semiconductors, though Chang’s remarks alone do not establish that Japan or Singapore will close the gap with incumbent leaders.
The trend: Semiconductor competition is shifting from a predominantly global supply chain toward rival, regionally supported manufacturing ecosystems.