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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Sources: Elon Musk shut off OpenAI's access to Twitter's data in December 2022, believing that the $2M/year licensing fee that OpenAI was paying wasn't enough

New York Times :

New York Times

Context & Ripple Effects

The December 2022 cutoff is one more turn in a long estrangement. Sources reported Musk cut ties with OpenAI back in 2018 after his offer to run it was rejected, and by 2020 he was publicly complaining that exclusive GPT-3 licensing to Microsoft left OpenAI "essentially captured" — the captured-by-Microsoft complaint framing the lab as no longer the open project he backed. The $2M/year Twitter data fee was, in his view, priced for a nonprofit-era relationship that no longer existed.

The move also fits a pattern at Twitter itself: music-licensing talks with the major labels stalled and died after his takeover over the same concern — paying market rate for content the company already held. Musk revived the grievance formally in 2024, renewing his California lawsuit alleging OpenAI breached its founding contract.

First-order effects

  • OpenAI loses a real-time social data feed mid-ChatGPT's rise, and its remaining access to Twitter-scale text now runs through Musk's goodwill rather than a $2M contract.
  • Twitter's firehose is repriced from a rounding error to a strategic asset under Musk's personal control, with the $2M figure now the public floor he rejected.

Second-order effects

  • Other platform owners watching the cutoff have a fresh data point for renegotiating AI-lab licensing deals upward or shutting them down, since Twitter demonstrated access can be revoked unilaterally at will.
  • OpenAI's deepening Microsoft relationship — the very one Musk denounced in 2020 — becomes the compensating channel for data and distribution, hardening the capture he criticized.

Third-order effects

  • Social platforms' archives shift from sellable inventory to leverage in the AI arms race, with owners like Musk treating data access as a control point over who can build competitive models.
  • If access revocation becomes standard practice, model developers are pushed toward owned or licensed corpora and synthetic data, restructuring the data-supply side of the industry around exclusives rather than cheap API deals.

The trend: Platform data access is shifting from cheap bulk licensing to a lever of control in AI competition, with owners repricing or revoking access as models become strategically valuable.

Discussion

  • @kevinokeefe Kevin O'Keefe on x
    Musk, who was on initial OpenAI board believes that A.I. is going to be a major turning point and that if it is poorly managed, it is going to be disastrous. - @cademetz et al of the @NYTimes https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @ubiquity75 @ubiquity75 on x
    “He says the robots are going to kill us?” said @rcalo , a professor at the University of Washington School of Law, who has attended A.I. events alongside Mr. Musk. “A car that his company made has already killed somebody.” https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @profchesterman Simon Chesterman on x
    .@ElonMusk wants to have his AI cake and delete it too. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @rmac18 Ryan Mac on x
    OpenAI was paying Twitter about $2m a year for firehose access to every tweet to train what would become ChatGPT. When Musk bought Twitter, he killed the relationship because he thought OpenAI wasn't paying enough. (latest w/ @CadeMetz and @kateconger) https://www.nytimes.com/...