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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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New website ranks database popularity, shows continued growth for non-relational systems

New Site Tracks the Cracks in Oracle's Empire  —  Oracle is one of the most successful companies in the history of tech.  But like any tech giant, it can be overturned.

Wired Klint Finley

Context & Ripple Effects

The database market has been contested terrain for years: Business Week was profiling challengers 'taking on the database giants' back in February 2006, and Oracle answered the NoSQL wave directly with its own NoSQL Database in late 2011. What changed this week is measurement: a new ranking site turns database popularity from anecdote into a public scoreboard, and its data show non-relational systems still gaining ground.

That framing lands on a company that has been anything but fragile — Oracle posted robust quarterly numbers as recently as September 2007 and remains one of tech's most profitable franchises. The pickup of the story by figures like Billy Bosworth, a NoSQL vendor chief executive, signals the ranking will be used as ammunition in the relational-versus-non-relational argument rather than read neutrally.

First-order effects

  • Database buyers and analysts gain a regularly updated popularity index, making shifts away from incumbent relational systems visible and quotable rather than a matter of vendor claims.
  • Oracle's dominance narrative now has a standing public counterweight: every ranking refresh renews attention on alternatives at the moment Oracle itself fields a NoSQL product.

Second-order effects

  • Non-relational vendors and open-source projects get a free visibility channel — rankings they climb become marketing proof points, pressuring Oracle and other relational incumbents to defend share on price and features.
  • Oracle's own NoSQL entry becomes strategically more important: it lets the company hedge against the shift the scoreboard documents instead of ceding the segment entirely.

Third-order effects

  • If non-relational adoption keeps compounding, the database business tilts from a single-vendor license model toward a mixed estate where no one supplier owns the workload — eroding the pricing power that made Oracle's franchise durable since well before the 2006 challenger cycle.

The trend: Database selection is shifting from defaulting to an incumbent relational giant to a measured, multi-engine market where popularity rankings make non-relational gains legible quarter after quarter.