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Research: TikTok's ad revenue is projected to triple in 2022 to $11B+, surpassing Twitter and Snapchat combined, which are expected to make $5.58B and $4.86B

Video-sharing app TikTok's advertisement revenue is likely to triple in 2022 to more than $11 billion, exceeding the combined sales …

Reuters Bhanvi Satija

Context & Ripple Effects

TikTok had already moved from a reported expectation of $500M in US revenue in 2020 to sharply higher top-view ad pricing in 2021. The 2022 projection marks the point at which its advertising business was expected to outrun the combined sales of two established social platforms.

Later coverage records record $16B in US revenue in 2023, placing the 2022 estimate within ByteDance's broader revenue expansion rather than a one-off ad-sales spike.

First-order effects

  • The projection positions TikTok as the larger advertising seller versus Twitter and Snapchat combined, giving advertisers a stronger reason to treat it as a core video-ad buying channel.
  • Twitter and Snapchat face a projected revenue gap against TikTok at the same time that TikTok is raising prices for premium placements.

Second-order effects

  • TikTok's projected scale strengthens its ability to sell premium inventory, while Twitter and Snapchat must compete more directly for the advertisers and budgets that TikTok is attracting.
  • ByteDance gains a larger revenue base to support TikTok's expansion, a trajectory later reflected in its record US revenue reported for 2023.

Third-order effects

  • If this revenue pattern persists, social advertising competition shifts further toward platforms that combine short-form video inventory with enough scale to command premium ad pricing.
  • The longer-term market may become less centered on legacy social-network ad businesses and more concentrated around large video-led platforms within broader app ecosystems.

The trend: Short-form video is becoming a central profit engine in social media, redirecting advertising scale and pricing power toward TikTok and ByteDance.

Discussion

  • @tanarrowz @tanarrowz on x
    Nearly $6 billion, or more than half, of this year's ad revenue is expected to come from the United States, despite regulatory concerns over user data from U.S being passed on to China. https://twitter.com/...