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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Oracle says it has “already suspended all operations” in Russia, following Ukrainian minister Mykhailo Fedorov's request of Oracle and SAP to do so

faster peace restored in Ukraine! I've addressed to @SAP and @Oracle for support! https://twitter.com/... Anton Barbashin / @abarbashin : Oracle stops working with Russia. If Microsoft does it as well, it will paralyze the country more effectively than your worst virus https://twitter.com/... @fedorovmykhailo : @Oracle @SAP With gratitude from all the free people of Ukraine! Markus Eisele / @myfear : I have never thought I'd ever say that: Well done Oracle. https://twitter.com/... Stephanie Ruhle / @sruhle : Nice move Oracle https://twitter.com/... @occupydemocrats : BREAKING: In a HUGE loss for Putin, computer technology giant Oracle announces that it is suspending ALL operations in Russia, accepting President Zelisnky's request earlier this morning to support their fight against Russia's invasion. RT TO THANK ORACLE FOR BACKING UKRAINE! Cat Zakrzewski / @cat_zakrzewski : @FedorovMykhailo @GerritD Fedorov has emerged as the chief agitator of an industry that has long been reluctant to bend to political demands. Since he started tweeting at the tech companies Friday, they've made changes to crack down on Russian propaganda and protect the safety of Ukrainian citizens.

@oracle

Context & Ripple Effects

Ukraine's vice PM Mykhailo Fedorov has spent the first week of the invasion running a direct-appeal campaign at Western tech CEOs, and Oracle is the latest to fold: within hours of his request to Oracle and SAP, both enterprise software giants announced they were stopping business in Russia. The move lands on top of Russia's own information clampdown, with leading internet providers restricting Twitter and Facebook access.

The significance is that Oracle and SAP run the back-office systems — databases and ERP — of much of corporate Russia, so a suspension hits operations rather than just storefronts. Fedorov's playbook is now proven across categories: he made the same ask of Sony, Ubisoft, and Microsoft on the gaming side the same day.

First-order effects

  • Russian enterprises running Oracle databases and SAP ERP lose vendor support, updates, and new licenses immediately, forcing them onto frozen or pirated versions of mission-critical systems.
  • Fedorov's appeal strategy gets its first enterprise-software wins, giving him a repeatable template for pressuring other CEOs by name.

Second-order effects

  • Anton Barbashin's framing that a Microsoft exit would 'paralyze' Russia more than any virus puts explicit public pressure on Microsoft to match Oracle and SAP, and Amazon followed within a week by blocking new AWS accounts in Russia and Belarus.
  • Multinational firms operating in Russia — the customer base AWS later said dominated its local book — face a forced migration off Western stacks or an exit from the market entirely.

Third-order effects

  • Enterprise software and cloud are now treated as instruments of statecraft, pushing sanctioned countries toward sovereign or parallel domestic stacks — the sovereign-compute-optionality pattern this episode is an early instance of.
  • If the pattern holds, tech-company withdrawal becomes a standard sanctions complement decided by CEO letters as much as by regulators, with Ukrainian officials acting as de facto policy entrepreneurs — a dynamic that deepened through the year as US tech firms and intelligence agencies formalized their cooperation with Ukraine.

The trend: Western enterprise software and cloud providers are being recruited — directly by Ukrainian officials — into economic warfare, turning vendor withdrawals into a sanctions layer that accelerates sovereign-compute efforts in targeted countries.

Discussion

  • Interfax Interfax on x
    Roskomnadzor demands Meta immediately lift restrictions on RT and Sputnik's Facebook and Instagram accounts, and explain why they were restricted
  • @fedorovmykhailo @fedorovmykhailo on x
    More sanctions imposed — faster peace restored in Ukraine! I've addressed to @SAP and @Oracle for support! https://twitter.com/...
  • @fedorovmykhailo @fedorovmykhailo on x
    @Oracle @SAP With gratitude from all the free people of Ukraine!
  • @abarbashin Anton Barbashin on x
    Oracle stops working with Russia. If Microsoft does it as well, it will paralyze the country more effectively than your worst virus https://twitter.com/...
  • @myfear Markus Eisele on x
    I have never thought I'd ever say that: Well done Oracle. https://twitter.com/...
  • @sruhle Stephanie Ruhle on x
    Nice move Oracle https://twitter.com/...
  • @occupydemocrats @occupydemocrats on x
    BREAKING: In a HUGE loss for Putin, computer technology giant Oracle announces that it is suspending ALL operations in Russia, accepting President Zelisnky's request earlier this morning to support their fight against Russia's invasion. RT TO THANK ORACLE FOR BACKING UKRAINE!