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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Mac and iPad sales break quarterly records in Q3, with Mac revenue of $8.2B, up 16% YoY, and iPad revenue of $7.4B, up 12% YoY

Mike Peterson / AppleInsider : Tweets: @greengart , @caro_milanesi , and @neilcybart Tweets: Avi Greengart / @greengart : AirPods and Apple Watches are a HUGE business. How big? Bigger than iPad. Bigger than Mac. https://twitter.com/... Carolina Milanesi / @caro_milanesi : The last four quarters have been the best ever for Mac thanks to the M1 - clearly why Windows OEMs are not underestimating the appeal #AAPL Neil Cybart / @neilcybart : The past four quarters for the Mac have been the best quarters ever for the product category. The Mac category is well-positioned to report some big growth numbers over the next few years.

AppleInsider Mike Peterson

Context & Ripple Effects

This is the second consecutive record-setting Mac quarter: April's $9.1B Mac result already reset the bar, and analysts quoted in the piece — Carolina Milanesi and Neil Cybart — both trace the four-quarter streak to the M1 transition rather than to pandemic demand alone.

Avi Greengart's observation quietly reframes the headline: AirPods and Apple Watch are now a bigger business than either the Mac or the iPad, meaning Apple's two 'legacy' computing categories are setting records while no longer being its largest hardware growth engines.

First-order effects

  • Windows OEMs are now competing directly against an M1-powered Mac line whose appeal Milanesi notes they 'are not underestimating,' forcing product and pricing responses in the premium laptop segment.
  • Within Apple's own portfolio, the Wearables, Home, and Accessories business has overtaken Mac and iPad in size, shifting which categories management treats as the core hardware story.

Second-order effects

  • Demand is running ahead of what Apple can build: the next quarter's $6B supply-chain shortfall shows the binding constraint moving from customer interest to component supply, putting procurement and channel allocation in focus.
  • Sustained M1 momentum pressures PC makers to accelerate their own silicon roadmaps and bundle strategies rather than compete on specs alone, tightening margins at the premium end of the Windows market.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, the Mac stops behaving like a cyclical PC business and behaves like a structurally larger category — the coverage shows Mac revenue climbing again to $10.85B in the following January quarter and still growing years later, while iPad oscillates between records and declines.
  • Investor expectations recalibrate accordingly: 'record' becomes the baseline for Mac reporting, raising the bar for every subsequent quarter and making any supply-constrained miss read as an execution problem rather than a demand problem.

The trend: Apple Silicon is converting the Mac from a mature, share-stable PC category into a structurally larger revenue franchise whose quarterly records keep resetting the baseline.

Discussion

  • @greengart Avi Greengart on x
    AirPods and Apple Watches are a HUGE business. How big? Bigger than iPad. Bigger than Mac. https://twitter.com/...
  • @caro_milanesi Carolina Milanesi on x
    The last four quarters have been the best ever for Mac thanks to the M1 - clearly why Windows OEMs are not underestimating the appeal #AAPL
  • @neilcybart Neil Cybart on x
    The past four quarters for the Mac have been the best quarters ever for the product category. The Mac category is well-positioned to report some big growth numbers over the next few years.