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Chronicles

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New research: estimates of Internet's energy consumption are exaggerated and throttling data consumption like lowering Netflix resolution does not yield much

New research by two leading scientists says some dire warnings of environmental damage from technology are overstated. Source: Joule . Tweets: @lordfusitua , @dealbook , @nytimesbusiness , @jimkerstetter , @nytclimate , and @nytimesbusiness Source: Joule : Does not compute: Avoiding pitfalls assessing the Internet's energy and carbon impacts Tweets: @lordfusitua : New research states some dire warnings of environmental damage from technology are overstated.The giant tech companies with their power-hungry, football-field-size data centers are not the environmental villains they are sometimes portrayed to be in media. https://www.nytimes.com/... @dealbook : .@SteveLohr writes that even the predicted environmental impact of Bitcoin, which does require lots of computing firepower, has been considerably exaggerated by some researchers. https://www.nytimes.com/... @nytimesbusiness : Shutting off your Zoom camera or throttling your Netflix service to lower-definition viewing does not yield a big saving in energy use, contrary to what some people have claimed, @SteveLohr writes. https://www.nytimes.com/... Jim Kerstetter / @jimkerstetter : Very sharp story from @SteveLohr about energy efficiency in big data centers and the real concerns about Bitcoin mining.. The Internet Eats Up Less Energy Than You Might Think https://www.nytimes.com/... NYT Climate / @nytclimate : All the world's data centers — excluding ones for Bitcoin mining — consume an estimated 1 percent of electricity globally. Bitcoin mining accounts for 0.4 percent of global electricity consumption. “It's a hot spot that needs to be watched very closely.” https://www.nytimes.com/... @nytimesbusiness : The giant tech companies with their power-hungry, football-field-size data centers are not the environmental villains they are sometimes portrayed to be on social media and elsewhere. https://www.nytimes.com/...

New York Times Steve Lohr

Context & Ripple Effects

The 'internet is an environmental villain' narrative has run alongside two parallel stories: the big five platforms — Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google and Microsoft, whose combined usage tops 45 TWh/year — racing to buy clean energy to meet climate goals (combined power usage tops 45 TWh/year), and a New York fossil-fuel plant restarted specifically to mine Bitcoin while the state weighs a mining moratorium (restarted for crypto mining).

The new Joule paper covered here cuts against the first storyline: it argues aggregate estimates of the Internet's energy appetite are inflated and that demand-side fixes like lowering Netflix resolution buy little. That matters because it redirects scrutiny from consumer streaming habits toward how and where computing actually gets its power.

First-order effects

  • Streaming-efficiency campaigns aimed at consumers lose their quantitative footing: if cutting resolution barely moves total energy use, platforms like Netflix gain evidence-based pushback against being cast as the problem.
  • Hyperscalers' existing clean-energy procurement gets analytical cover — the research supports the claim that football-field-size data centers are not the villains they are sometimes painted to be.

Second-order effects

  • Regulators and advocates looking to curb tech's carbon footprint are pushed from demand-throttling toward supply-side levers — the same territory as New York's proposed three-year moratorium on fossil-powered crypto mining, where local grid impacts are concrete and measurable.
  • Energy-accounting firms and researchers face pressure to replace exaggerated top-line estimates with audited, per-service measurements, since bad numbers now cut both ways in corporate climate claims.

Third-order effects

  • As AI later drives data-center emissions back up and companies turn to fusion and geothermal experiments, credible measurement becomes the basis for both investment and regulation — the pattern this paper starts points toward energy-to-compute accounting as standard infrastructure rather than advocacy talking points.

The trend: Digital-energy discourse is shifting from alarmist aggregate estimates toward measured accounting, just as AI is making compute's power draw a central industrial constraint again.

Discussion

  • @dealbook @dealbook on x
    .@SteveLohr writes that even the predicted environmental impact of Bitcoin, which does require lots of computing firepower, has been considerably exaggerated by some researchers. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @nytimesbusiness @nytimesbusiness on x
    Shutting off your Zoom camera or throttling your Netflix service to lower-definition viewing does not yield a big saving in energy use, contrary to what some people have claimed, @SteveLohr writes. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @nytclimate NYT Climate on x
    All the world's data centers — excluding ones for Bitcoin mining — consume an estimated 1 percent of electricity globally. Bitcoin mining accounts for 0.4 percent of global electricity consumption. “It's a hot spot that needs to be watched very closely.” https://www.nytimes.com/.…
  • @nytimesbusiness @nytimesbusiness on x
    The giant tech companies with their power-hungry, football-field-size data centers are not the environmental villains they are sometimes portrayed to be on social media and elsewhere. https://www.nytimes.com/...