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Pitchbook: the median pre-investment valuation for a Series A round in the US has increased sixfold to $37M since 2010

@lpolovets https://thein.fo/... by @KateClarkTweets

The Information Kate Clark

Context & Ripple Effects

PitchBook's sixfold jump in median pre-investment Series A pricing is the valuation-side twin of a deal-size story already on record: an analysis of 2,539 US rounds found the median Series A check had reached $8.6M by early 2020. Bigger checks and richer pre-moneys are moving together, so each round buys investors meaningfully less of the company than it did a decade ago.

The timing matters: this lands just before PitchBook counted $69B raised by US startups in Q1 2021, a 41% jump over the prior record. Entry-stage pricing is being repriced inside the frothiest fundraising environment on file, which is what makes the $37M figure a leading indicator rather than a lagging one.

First-order effects

  • Founders clearing the Series A bar now sell roughly a sixth of the equity for the same stake they would have given up in 2010, while lead investors must write far larger checks to hold their target ownership percentage.

Second-order effects

  • Richer pre-moneys make new outside leads more expensive for incumbents to accommodate, consistent with PitchBook's finding that inside rounds topped 1,000 in 2020 with $30B invested — existing backers defending their stakes rather than letting fresh money price the round.

Third-order effects

  • If entry pricing keeps compounding, Series A becomes a scale gate that fewer startups clear, pushing capital toward proven teams and mega-rounds — a concentration pattern PitchBook itself later confirmed when $32B of Q4 2024 funding landed in just five deals.

The trend: US venture capital is inflating entry-stage valuations faster than it widens access, concentrating dollars in fewer, larger, later-priced rounds.

Discussion

  • @theinformation @theinformation on x
    Inflated prices could harm startups if they fall short https://www.theinformation.com/ ...
  • @randybias Randy Bias on x
    That is just nuts and indicative of a bubble. 🤔 https://twitter.com/...
  • @kateclarktweets Kate Clark on x
    Series A startup valuations keep getting bigger and bigger. The chart speaks for itself: https://www.theinformation.com/ ...
  • @jessicalessin Jessica Lessin on x
    “It's hard to know where it stops. It has felt for a while that it can't get more crazy than this.” @dickc Important @KateClarkTweets story. https://www.theinformation.com/ ...
  • @amir Amir Efrati on x
    “The higher the price...the harder it is to raise the next round. At some point, you have to face reality in terms of traction.” — @lpolovets https://thein.fo/... by @KateClarkTweets