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PitchBook: US startups raised $69B in Q1 2021, up 41% from the previous record in Q4 2018, as the average late stage valuation tripled to $1.6B from last year

Wall Street Journal Heather Somerville

Context & Ripple Effects

The late-stage record PitchBook logged in Q1 2018 — 102 US startups raising at least $50M apiece — was the previous high-water mark this quarter just broke by 41%. The tripling of average late-stage valuations to $1.6B signals the bar for what counts as 'late stage' is being reset mid-cycle.

This quarter is the opening beat of the 2021 blowoff that ended with $329.8B raised for the full year, more than double 2020's $166.6B — and it was not confined to late stage, since seed and early-stage dollars roughly doubled in 2021 alongside it.

First-order effects

  • Late-stage founders gain immediate pricing power: with average valuations up 3x year-over-year, existing investors face sharply higher marks to defend their ownership stakes in every new round.

Second-order effects

  • Fundraising competition cascades down the stack — the same FOMO that pushed Q1 late-stage dollars to $69B pulled seed and early-stage totals from $52B in 2020 toward $93B by December, as funds deployed faster to keep pace.

Third-order effects

  • Capital is concentrating into ever-fewer checks — a pattern that matured by Q4 2024, when $32B went into just five deals even as total fundraising hit post-2019 lows — leaving later cycles dependent on a handful of mega-rounds rather than broad deal flow.

The trend: US venture funding is cycling through successively larger record quarters while each cycle concentrates more capital into fewer, bigger rounds.

Discussion

  • @cakmakci @cakmakci on x
    Investors are offering startups five times—or more—the amount of money they are asking, and deals that used to take months now sometimes close in days, according to venture capitalists, deal makers and founders. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @srussolillo Steven Russolillo on x
    -US startups raised $69B in 1Q—41% more than prior record -Avg late-stage startup valuation more than tripled to $1.6B -Investors offering startups 5x—or more—the asking amount -Deals take days instead of months “I've never seen it this frenzied.” https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @julianklymochko @julianklymochko on x
    Investors are offering startups fivex—or more—the amount of money they are asking, deals that used to take months now close in days..Startups are raising cash every few months rather than every couple of years, valuations are soaring with each new check https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @amcafee Andrew McAfee on x
    Has no one told all these investors and entrepreneurs that today's dominant tech platforms have created a KILL ZONE of innovation around themselves? https://www.wsj.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @bowknowsbiz Bowdeya Tweh on x
    Years into a boom for venture capital fueled by low interest rates and the prospect of a lucrative hit in tech, deal flow and valuations are reaching new peaks, via @heathersomervil https://www.wsj.com/...