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Chronicles

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Survey of 1,349 US adults finds 40% support Trump's threatened ban on TikTok if a US buyer cannot be found, with responses split along party lines

WASHINGTON/ NEW YORK (Reuters) - Forty percent of Americans back President Donald Trump's threat to ban videosharing app TikTok if it is not sold …

Reuters

Context & Ripple Effects

This Reuters poll is the opening data point in what became a five-year measurement of American appetite for banning TikTok. Support started at 40% here with a clear partisan split, climbed to 41% in a March 2023 Washington Post poll where 71% worried about ByteDance's Chinese ownership, peaked around 50% when a Reuters/Ipsos survey found 58% believed Beijing used the app to influence US opinion (May 2024), and then slid to 34% in Pew's March 2025 survey.

The partisan alignment also inverted at the top: the president whose threat this poll measured went on to declare Facebook the 'true enemy' and endorse TikTok outright (March 2024), which tracks with Republican ban support falling from 60% to 50% in Pew's December 2023 follow-up.

First-order effects

  • The 40% figure hands Trump a working plurality — not a majority — behind his divestiture-or-ban threat, with Republican respondents supplying most of the support and TikTok's US user base the population directly exposed to the outcome.

Second-order effects

  • ByteDance's path of least resistance becomes finding a US buyer to neutralize the threat rather than contesting public opinion, and subsequent reporting flagged that proposed deal structures still carried purported links to China — keeping the political risk alive even after a sale.

Third-order effects

  • The polling arc — 40% in 2020 rising toward 50% by 2023-24, then falling to 34% by 2025 while the same president flipped from threatening the ban to defending the app — suggests American ban sentiment tracks partisan leadership cues more than any fixed view of national-security risk, complicating any long-term regulatory case built on public backing.

The trend: US public support for banning TikTok followed a rise-and-fall arc driven more by partisan positioning than by stable security concerns.

Discussion

  • @paulmozur @paulmozur on x
    Big news on TikTok: Beijing is now signaling that the algorithms that power the app are covered by new export controls. That would give China's government a final say over any deal, and could mean it plans to block a takeover, just as one looks imminent. https://www.nytimes.com/.…