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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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While Facebook claims its size helps it defend the US against Chinese companies like TikTok, history shows TikTok succeeded partly due to FB's corporate goals

more than a billion dollars—that between 15 percent and 22 percent of all ads shown through Facebook on iOS during [the spring and summer of 2018] were TikTok ads.” https://promarket.org/... Matt Stoller / @matthewstoller : It really is critical to start recognizing how dangerous Facebook's monopoly really is and how it empowered Chinese competitors. https://promarket.org/...

Pro Market Lucas Kunce

Context & Ripple Effects

Matt Stoller's argument in Pro Market reframes the standard defense of Facebook's scale: rather than a bulwark against Chinese apps, he contends Facebook's monopoly posture actively helped ByteDance break into the US. The mechanism is well-documented in earlier coverage — ByteDance spent roughly $1B advertising TikTok in 2018, heavily promoting the app on Facebook and Instagram, where TikTok reportedly made up 15–22% of all iOS ads shown through Facebook that spring and summer.

That spending pattern is why analysts have called TikTok's rise a cautionary tale for social media startups, and it lands just as Washington debates whether the TikTok fight should produce a thoughtful regulatory model for big tech regardless of where a company is based.

First-order effects

  • Facebook collected more than a billion dollars from the company it now frames as a national-security threat, meaning its own ad business financed a direct competitor's user acquisition during the exact window it could have squeezed TikTok out.

Second-order effects

  • Advertisers learned that reach can be bought off-platform at scale, which helps explain why TikTok later repositioned itself as an entertainment platform rather than a social network and reported no slowdown in ad revenue even as Facebook faced copycat pressure.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, gatekeeper platforms face an uncomfortable structural choice between policing their inventory against challengers — inviting antitrust scrutiny like Stoller's — and monetizing them — funding the next TikTok, a tension the emerging big-tech regulatory debate has yet to resolve.

The trend: Platform monopolies are being reexamined less for what they block than for what they profitably enable, with ad-revenue flows to challengers becoming a new lens in the antitrust case against big tech.

Discussion

  • @joshconstine Josh Constine -SignalFire on x
    Great history lesson on why “tech” monopolies thwart a thriving market for national defense. https://promarket.org/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @asherschechter Asher Schechter on x
    “The Vine story clearly illustrates how the large tech platforms are structurally unable to defend American interests and should never be trusted with that task.” (Lucas Kunce) https://promarket.org/...
  • @karenkornbluh Karen Kornbluh on x
    Matt turns the “we must be big to protect you vs China” argument on its head https://twitter.com/...
  • @promarket_org ProMarket on x
    “Tech platforms like Facebook say we should protect, empower, & celebrate their concentrated power for the sake of America's national security. But their history shows tech giants are structurally unable to defend American interests.” https://promarket.org/...
  • @phirephoenix Jenny on x
    There's a LOT here but this stat is nuts: “The ad buys were so overwhelming—more than a billion dollars—that between 15 percent and 22 percent of all ads shown through Facebook on iOS during [the spring and summer of 2018] were TikTok ads.” https://promarket.org/...
  • @matthewstoller Matt Stoller on x
    It really is critical to start recognizing how dangerous Facebook's monopoly really is and how it empowered Chinese competitors. https://promarket.org/...