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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Telegram says it now has 400M MAUs, up from 300M a year ago, and will offer secure group video calls sometime this year

Now that the coronavirus pandemic has made video calls increasingly popular and critical, services like Zoom, Google Meet, WhatsApp and Telegram are vying for attention.

Engadget Christine Fisher

Context & Ripple Effects

Telegram's user curve has been compounding steadily: it took four years to go from 100M MAUs in February 2016 to 200M in March 2018, but only one more year to add the next 100M, reaching 400M now. The pandemic-era surge in video calling is the backdrop — Telegram is announcing the feature (secure group video calls) at the same moment Zoom, Google Meet, and WhatsApp are all competing for the same locked-down users.

The announcement also sets up the arc the following coverage confirms: by December Telegram was [[a:961355|nearing 500M MAUs, debuting group voice chat, and preparing an ad platform for public channels]], meaning this year's promised video feature was the first step in turning raw user growth into a monetizable product suite.

First-order effects

  • Zoom, Google Meet, and WhatsApp gain a direct competitor in group video calling: Telegram's promise of end-to-end security targets the exact concern that pushed enterprises and consumers to scrutinize incumbent video tools during the pandemic.
  • Telegram's own roadmap shifts from pure messaging to real-time communication, putting its engineering resources behind live group features rather than chat-only differentiation.

Second-order effects

  • Incumbent outages become Telegram's acquisition channel — when Facebook's products went down in October 2021, Telegram picked up 70M users in a single day, showing how reliability gaps at rivals convert directly into Telegram signups.
  • Growth forces a monetization decision: within two years Telegram layered an ad platform for public channels onto free usage and launched Telegram Premium at $5–6 per month, meaning the 400M-user base announced here became the audience both revenue models were built to serve.

Third-order effects

  • Messaging apps are consolidating into multi-purpose communication platforms — voice chat, video calls up to 1,000 participants, channels, subscriptions — collapsing the boundary between messengers like WhatsApp and dedicated video tools like Zoom into a single competitive arena.
  • If the pattern holds, scale itself becomes the moat: platforms that reach hundreds of millions of MAUs can fund feature parity through ads and premium tiers, squeezing single-purpose video services that lack a bundled messaging base.

The trend: Messaging platforms are converting pandemic-driven user growth into full communication suites — group video, channels, ads, and paid tiers — eroding the line between messengers and dedicated video-conferencing services.

Discussion

  • @denullru @denullru on x
    Wow, the latest post in @Telegram's blog is translated to a lot of languages (French https://telegram.org/..., Ukranian https://telegram.org/..., Korean https://telegram.org/... and so on). I think I never saw a company posting its news in so many languages at once.
  • @mattnavarra @mattnavarra on x
    Telegram adding secure group video calls feature later this year https://www.theverge.com/...
  • @telegram Telegram Messenger on x
    Telegram now has over 400,000,000 monthly active users. Thank you all! 🎉 https://telegram.org/...