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Chronicles

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Indie game developers and publishers say Stadia's library is sparse because Google wasn't offering devs enough money and may abandon the platform in the future

that Google might just give up [...] was repeatedly brought up, unprompted, by every person we spoke with for this piece.” https://twitter.com/... Mcc / @mcclure111 : “This concern — that Google might just give up on Stadia at some point and kill the service, as it has done with so many other services over the years — was repeatedly brought up, unprompted, by every person we spoke with for this piece.” https://www.businessinsider.com/ ... Dare Obasanjo / @carnage4life : Indie devs are avoiding Google Stadia because Google's financial incentives are too low. This lowballing also sends the signal Google isn't ready to invest big in Stadia which gives the impression it's a bet that could be canceled not a core product https://www.businessinsider.com/ ... Jacob Terry / @jerkob : Pretty much the first thing I thought of when I heard about Stadia's model where you “buy” games that are kept on Google's servers - how will they handle the games customers “bought” when they shut this down in 2 years? https://www.businessinsider.com/ ... https://twitter.com/... @vgfgamers : Let me see your shocked faces https://www.businessinsider.com/ ... ACG Game Reviewer / @jeremypenter : https://www.businessinsider.com/ ... Articles that write themselves. Mark Horton / @whatusaymark : I don't blame developers for not trusting Google, or that Stadia would last, given their past. Not paying enough was the icing on the No cake. https://www.businessinsider.com/ ... @grummz : Google ego. #stadia https://twitter.com/... Paul Tassi / @paultassi : Uh not great from notorious cheapskate....Google? https://twitter.com/... https://twitter.com/... Ben Gilbert / @realbengilbert : Why aren't so many games on Google Stadia? Developers told me that Google isn't offering enough money, among other concerns: https://www.businessinsider.com/ ...

Business Insider Ben Gilbert

Context & Ripple Effects

When Business Insider spoke to indie developers and publishers in early 2020, two complaints dominated: Google's porting incentives were too low to justify bringing games over, and every single source volunteered, unprompted, the fear that Google would simply give up on Stadia the way it has killed other services. That second fear turned out to be the load-bearing one — it is why a thin launch library became a self-fulfilling shortage, since studios won't fund ports for a platform they expect to die.

The subsequent coverage reads like the developers' forecast playing out on schedule: Bloomberg reported Stadia had missed its controller sales and MAU targets by hundreds of thousands despite tens of millions spent on games, Google explored repositioning the tech as a white-label service called Google Stream in talks with Capcom, Bungie, and Peloton, and finally announced it would shut Stadia down entirely in January 2023 with full refunds.

First-order effects

  • Indie developers and publishers decline Google's porting deals, leaving Stadia's library sparse exactly when the $130 Founder's Edition buyers and $10/month subscribers from the 2019 launch needed reasons to stay.

Second-order effects

  • With the consumer storefront failing, Google reroutes the underlying technology toward licensing — the Google Stream white-label talks with Capcom, Bungie, and Peloton turn Stadia's sunk infrastructure costs into a B2B product line instead of writing them off.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, cloud gaming consolidates around companies that can guarantee content commitment — while Google's own track record becomes a pricing input for any studio weighing a first-party platform deal, raising the incentive budget every future entrant must offer.

The trend: Consumer cloud-gaming storefronts are giving way to licensed streaming infrastructure, because developers price platform-abandonment risk into whether they port at all.

Discussion

  • @tha_rami Rami Ismail on x
    It's rare to see something this unanimous in games business tbh https://www.businessinsider.com/ ...
  • @bradfitz Brad Fitzpatrick on x
    @SwiftOnSecurity http://stadiacountdown.com/
  • @swiftonsecurity @swiftonsecurity on x
    Google killing Reader will go down in business textbooks as one of the worst business decisions regarding a money-losing product ever. “This concern — that Google might just give up [...] was repeatedly brought up, unprompted, by every person we spoke with for this piece.” https:…
  • @mcclure111 Mcc on x
    “This concern — that Google might just give up on Stadia at some point and kill the service, as it has done with so many other services over the years — was repeatedly brought up, unprompted, by every person we spoke with for this piece.” https://www.businessinsider.com/ ...
  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on x
    Indie devs are avoiding Google Stadia because Google's financial incentives are too low. This lowballing also sends the signal Google isn't ready to invest big in Stadia which gives the impression it's a bet that could be canceled not a core product https://www.businessinsider.co…
  • @jerkob Jacob Terry on x
    Pretty much the first thing I thought of when I heard about Stadia's model where you “buy” games that are kept on Google's servers - how will they handle the games customers “bought” when they shut this down in 2 years? https://www.businessinsider.com/ ... https://twitter.com/...
  • @vgfgamers @vgfgamers on x
    Let me see your shocked faces https://www.businessinsider.com/ ...
  • @jeremypenter ACG Game Reviewer on x
    https://www.businessinsider.com/ ... Articles that write themselves.
  • @whatusaymark Mark Horton on x
    I don't blame developers for not trusting Google, or that Stadia would last, given their past. Not paying enough was the icing on the No cake. https://www.businessinsider.com/ ...
  • @grummz @grummz on x
    Google ego. #stadia https://twitter.com/...
  • @paultassi Paul Tassi on x
    Uh not great from notorious cheapskate....Google? https://twitter.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @realbengilbert Ben Gilbert on x
    Why aren't so many games on Google Stadia? Developers told me that Google isn't offering enough money, among other concerns: https://www.businessinsider.com/ ...