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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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A look at Netflix's meteoric growth in the past decade, which saw its stock deliver more than 4,000% return, the best performing among S&P 500 companies

- Netflix was by far the best performer in the S&P 500 during the decade among companies currently in the index.

CNBC Ari Levy

Context & Ripple Effects

The decade's story was built in stages: subscriber beats like the Q3 2017 report with 5.3M adds against a 4.5M estimate compounded into a valuation race, where Netflix's $149B market value first passed Comcast and then topped Walt Disney Co. by May 2018.

This CNBC retrospective closes that arc at 4,000%+ — the best S&P 500 return of the decade — but the coverage shows the pattern continuing after it: a 90%+ run in 2024 capped by the live-sports foray, and a 10-for-1 stock split in 2025 once shares cleared $1,000.

First-order effects

  • Long-term shareholders capture the decade's best large-cap return, while index funds holding the S&P 500 carried Netflix as their single largest contributor among current constituents.
  • Netflix enters the next decade with a valuation bar set by its own history — the same rich-multiple pressure flagged when the 2024 rally priced in a demanding follow-up act.

Second-order effects

  • Disney and Comcast, both overtaken in market value during 2018, were pushed into direct streaming competition with the company that beat them, resetting capital-allocation priorities across legacy media.
  • Sustained outperformance forces portfolio managers to treat Netflix as a core mega-cap position rather than a high-growth satellite, changing how the stock trades around each quarterly subscriber print.

Third-order effects

  • If the post-retrospective moves hold — live sports, games expansion via acquisitions alongside studio closures, and a split signaling retail accessibility — Netflix consolidates toward being a diversified attention platform rather than a subscription video service.
  • A decade of best-in-index returns strengthens the case that scale content platforms, not incumbent media conglomerates, capture the value in the streaming transition — a structural claim regulators and rivals now have to price in.

The trend: Streaming is consolidating around one scaled platform whose returns compound through subscriber growth, new formats, and valuation milestones that legacy media must chase.

Discussion

  • @levynews Ari Levy on x
    Remember 2011, when Netflix had to raise $400 mln in emergency funding after the Qwikster debacle? Now it's the best-performing stock of the decade (and it's not even close) https://www.cnbc.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @bawizy B Magaji on x
    In 1998, Jeff Bezos offered to buy Netflix for $15m. Needless to say, Reed Hastings made the right call to turn it down. Visionaries of our time https://twitter.com/...
  • @nateberkopec Nate Berkopec on x
    Netflix tanking after they split the streaming and DVD business the first time is this generations “asked me for a faster horse” https://www.cnbc.com/...
  • @nelsongriggs Nelson Griggs on x
    Since 2010, the S&P 500 is up about 189%. With a market cap of close to $150B, @netflix is up over 4,000% — making it the stock of the decade. #NasdaqListed $NFLX (via @levynews, @CNBC) https://www.cnbc.com/...
  • @ambermac Amber Mac on x
    “A $1 million bet on #Netflix's stock placed on Jan. 1, 2010, would be worth close to $43 million today. The 4181% return beats all current members of the S&P 500, which Netflix joined in Dec. 2010. The index as a whole is up 189% over the past 10 years.” https://www.cnbc.com/...