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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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The FBI is seeking an early alerting tool that scans public data from social media to monitor threats to the US, which may violate Facebook and Twitter policies

Agency solicits vendor proposals to collect data from Facebook, other social media to head off safety threats

Wall Street Journal

Context & Ripple Effects

This solicitation extends a pattern: the FBI already runs an early-alerting capability through Dataminr's tool built on Twitter's firehose — an arrangement born when Twitter revoked CIA access to a similar service — and the bureau now wants a broader tool that also reaches Facebook data. It lands days after the White House explored mass-shooting prediction by scanning posts at a meeting where Facebook and Twitter raised privacy concerns, so the platforms' objections are already on record.

What makes the solicitation consequential is that it asks vendors to collect from platforms whose own policies prohibit exactly this use — meaning the FBI is effectively procuring around the gatekeepers rather than negotiating with them.

First-order effects

  • Vendors responding to the solicitation would be building a tool whose core function — collecting public Facebook and Twitter data at scale for threat monitoring — likely breaches both platforms' terms of service, putting any winning contractor in direct conflict with the data sources.
  • Facebook and Twitter face an immediate enforcement decision: treat government-funded scraping as a violation and cut off access, or tolerate it.

Second-order effects

  • If platforms revoke or restrict access — the precedent set when Twitter cut off the CIA's similar service — the FBI shifts toward third-party surveillance tools that aggregate data independently, a path later confirmed by its contract worth up to $27M for Babel X licenses with predictive analytics.
  • DHS eventually weighed contracting private companies to analyze public social media after the intelligence community missed the threats preceding Jan. 6 (coverage here) — evidence that failed or contested direct access pushes agencies toward intermediary-based collection instead of abandoning it.

Third-order effects

  • Platform terms of service emerge as the de facto regulatory chokepoint for government social media surveillance: since Congress has not settled the legal question, the practical limit on tools like this is whether Facebook and Twitter enforce their policies against state contractors.
  • If the pattern holds, US threat-monitoring institutionalizes as a vendor-mediated surveillance market — agencies procure capability they cannot get directly, and accountability shifts from agencies to whichever private firms hold the data pipelines.

The trend: US security agencies are assembling social media monitoring through vendor contracts, with platform terms of service serving as the main — and largely untested — constraint on state access to public posts.

Discussion

  • @wsj @wsj on x
    An FBI effort to monitor social media for possible threats could clash with Facebook's privacy policies and attempts to comply with its $5 billion FTC settlement https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @jbarro Josh Barro on x
    Not to go all Neil deGrasse Tyson, but when we over-weight the risk posed by terror and mass violence threats, that tends to have real and negative policy consequences. https://www.wsj.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @jason_kint Jason Kint on x
    @selectedwisdom On a different note, we now have: - this yday from @robaeprice about scraping content and mining our personal data from Facebook https://www.wsj.com/... - WSJ on FBI wanting to do it https://t.co/AQtFLuk62M - meanwhile Google and Facebook do this as their core bus…
  • @fightextremism CEP on x
    Just weeks before a series of mass murders, FBI solicited proposals to pull public data from social media to proactively identify and monitor threats to the U.S. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @jeffhorwitz Jeff Horwitz on x
    When the FTC ordered Facebook to better protect its users' data as part of a $5B contract, the FBI was soliciting contractors to gain unauthorized access to that same data. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @benedictevans Benedict Evans on x
    “An ef­fort by the FBI to more ag­gres­sively mon­i­tor so­cial me­dia for pos­si­ble threats could clash with Face­book pri­vacy poli­cies and a record $5 bil­lion set­tle­ment with the U.S. gov­ern­ment reached just last month.” TRADEOFFS https://www.wsj.com/...