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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Report: BlackBerry is in talks to buy cybersecurity company Cylance for as much as $1.5B

Shanti S Nair / Reuters :

Reuters Shanti S Nair

Context & Ripple Effects

This report lands mid-arc in BlackBerry's long pivot from handsets to security software: it had already bought file-security startup WatchDox in 2015 and followed with the $425M Good Technology acquisition that September. Days after these talks surfaced, BlackBerry confirmed the deal at $1.4B in cash for Cylance's AI-based threat detection platform — its largest security bet yet.

The fuller arc is what makes this worth revisiting: six years later BlackBerry sold Cylance to Arctic Wolf for $160M, an roughly 89% write-down on the price paid here. The talks reported today are the opening move of a purchase that became one of the clearest case studies in overpaying for endpoint-security hype.

First-order effects

  • If closed near the reported price, this becomes BlackBerry's biggest security acquisition ever, adding an AI-driven threat detection platform to a portfolio built on acquisitions like WatchDox and Good Technology rather than organic product development.

Second-order effects

  • Rival endpoint-security vendors gain a weakened competitor over time: a handset-era company absorbing an AI-native startup must integrate two very different engineering cultures, and Cylance's standalone momentum becomes BlackBerry's integration problem.

Third-order effects

  • The eventual $160M exit to Arctic Wolf shows the structural risk of the 2010s security-rollup strategy: acquirers paid peak multiples for AI threat detection, then wrote most of it off when standalone growth didn't materialize — a cautionary template for every subsequent cybersecurity M&A cycle.

The trend: Legacy device makers bought AI-security startups at 2018-vintage valuations to reinvent themselves as software companies, and the unwind — BlackBerry's Cylance write-down chief among them — is now repricing that entire M&A wave.