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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Viacom to launch streaming service by September with content it removed from Hulu and Netflix, is talking to US mobile carriers to distribute its TV channels

Wall Street Journal :

Wall Street Journal

Context & Ripple Effects

Viacom spent years as a wholesale supplier to other people's platforms: Hulu's push into an online TV service streaming popular broadcast and cable channels depended on exactly the kind of licensed content Viacom is now withdrawing. Pulling shows from Hulu and Netflix ahead of a September launch converts that library from rental income into the launch inventory of a competing service.

The move also previews where Viacom took streaming next — the talks to acquire ad-supported streamer Tubi TV and the later plan for an ad-supported service built on CBS All Access both extend the same pivot from licensor to operator, with advertising rather than subscriptions carrying much of the load.

First-order effects

  • Netflix and Hulu immediately lose Viacom programming that helped fill their catalogs, forcing them to backfill with original production or other licensors' libraries at rising prices.
  • US mobile carriers in talks with Viacom gain a chance to bundle its TV channels directly into their plans, becoming the distribution layer for a service that bypasses traditional pay-TV.

Second-order effects

  • Rival cable programmers face pressure to reprice their own Netflix and Hulu licensing deals, since Viacom has demonstrated that withdrawal-and-launch is a viable playbook for mid-sized content owners.
  • Mobile carriers become kingmakers in streaming distribution: whoever signs Viacom gets differentiated channel content, pushing competitors like AT&T and Verizon toward exclusive carriage deals of their own.

Third-order effects

  • If content owners keep pulling libraries to feed their own services, the industry restructures around vertically integrated platforms, and aggregators like Netflix must outspend licensors on originals to replace rented catalog.
  • Carrier-bundled channels point toward a rebundling of pay TV inside wireless bills — the cable bundle dissolving and reforming around mobile operators rather than cable distributors.

The trend: Content owners are migrating from licensing their libraries to third-party platforms toward operating their own streaming services, with mobile carriers emerging as the new bundling layer.

Discussion

  • @kcoxdc Kate Cox on x
    I stand by my “intense fragmentation is going to lead to the great rebundling, just this time without coaxial wires” argument. http://www.wsj.com/...
  • @jasoncross00 Jason Cross on x
    You'll replace your $80 cable bill with 12 different $10-per-month streaming services and have to hop in and out of a dozen apps to find what to watch. PROGRESS! http://twitter.com/...
  • @mgsiegler M.G. Siegler on x
    Bundles all the way down... http://twitter.com/...
  • @wsj The Wall Street on x
    Viacom, home to MTV and Comedy Central, is starting a streaming service http://www.wsj.com/...