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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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As China mulls regulating power-hungry bitcoin mining, some of the biggest miners including Bitmain, BTC.Top, and ViaBTC open facilities in US, Canada, Iceland

Policy makers outlined curbs on mining this week, people say  —  Canada, Iceland, U.S. are among alternative destinations

Bloomberg

Context & Ripple Effects

In early 2018, Beijing had not yet banned mining — it was only signaling curbs, with policy makers outlining restrictions on the power-hungry industry that week. Bitmain, BTC.Top, and ViaBTC treated that signal as enough to start opening facilities abroad.

What followed validated the hedge. A brief history of Chinese mining dominance ends with authorities cracking down while foreign rivals erode China's share; by mid-2021 miners were hunting cheap power in nearby Kazakhstan, Bit Digital was shipping more than 20,000 rigs out of China toward Canada and the US, and the crackdown had widened to colleges, research institutions, and data centers.

First-order effects

  • Bitmain, BTC.Top, and ViaBTC gain operational redundancy before any rule lands — their hashrate keeps running under Canadian, Icelandic, or US jurisdiction even if Chinese curbs shut domestic sites.
  • Chinese policy makers lose quiet leverage over three of the biggest miners, since capacity already opened offshore cannot be recalled by domestic enforcement.

Second-order effects

Third-order effects

  • Mining consolidates out of any single jurisdiction into a distributed map set by energy costs and policy risk — China's near-monopoly position dissolving into a multi-country equilibrium where regulators who threaten curbs simply export their miners' capex elsewhere.
  • Jurisdictions that once viewed mining as free-riding on local grids start treating attracted capacity as strategic infrastructure, raising the stakes of future energy-policy fights over who hosts global hashrate.

The trend: Bitcoin mining behaves as mobile capital that migrates ahead of regulation toward cheap, politically stable electricity — the 2018 hedging by Bitmain, BTC.Top, and ViaBTC prefiguring the post-crackdown redistribution of hashrate across the US, Canada, Iceland, and Kazakhstan.