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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Intel reports Q4 revenue of $16.4B, up from $14.9B last year, as IoT revenue grew 16% YoY to $726M and non-volatile memory revenue grew 25% YoY to $816M

Dean Takahashi / VentureBeat :

VentureBeat Dean Takahashi

Context & Ripple Effects

This quarter extends a pattern Intel's own management has been flagging since mid-2015, when the CEO credited IoT, memory, and data center as the growth engines behind a beat. The Q4 print makes the mix shift concrete: total revenue rose about 10% YoY to $16.4B, but the two smallest disclosed lines grew fastest — IoT up 16% to $726M and non-volatile memory up 25% to $816M.

The follow-through was immediate in the corpus: within months Intel was stressing its memory-chip business strength again in Q1 2017, and five years later the same IoT line had more than doubled to $1.1B, up 36% YoY, in the Q4 2021 report. Small today, but compounding well above the corporate average.

First-order effects

  • Intel's growth is being carried disproportionately by its smallest units: IoT ($726M) and non-volatile memory ($816M) together are under 10% of revenue yet grew 16% and 25% respectively against ~10% for the company overall.

Second-order effects

  • Sustained memory outperformance pressures Intel to keep investing in non-volatile memory capacity and product roadmaps, while rivals in flash storage face a competitor whose memory line is now growing fast enough to headline earnings commentary alongside PCs and data center.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, Intel's revenue base gradually rebalances away from dependence on PC and server cycles toward embedded and memory businesses — a diversification visible in the corpus arc from $13.2B quarterly revenue in 2015 to $20.2B by early 2020, with IoT scaling from $726M to $1.1B along the way.

The trend: Intel's smallest segments — IoT and memory — are consistently outgrowing its core PC and data center businesses, slowly shifting the company's revenue mix toward embedded and storage silicon.