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Chronicles

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China suspends exports of a wide range of rare earth minerals and magnets that are crucial for making semiconductors, robots, drones, cars, and other products

Trump thought they were playing chess but Xi was actually playing Uno.  Reverse. Costa Samaras / @costasamaras.com : Last week, @stevenjdavis.bsky.social, @kencaldeira.com, colleagues published a big paper on how increased trade can reduce risks under decarbonization: rdcu.be/ehzOR.  I wrote an introduction to the paper & what it means for energy security: rdcu.be/ehzO6.  Today, this:  —  www.nytimes.com/2025/04/13/b... Matt Novak / @paleofuture : “Drones and robotics are widely considered the future of warfare, and based on everything we are seeing, the critical inputs for our future supply chain are shut down.” Jonas Nahm / @jonasnahm.com : This was the predictable response and follows a long pattern of similar export restrictions/license requirements in response to previous trade actions.  Nonetheless, we are not prepared for this.  —  www.nytimes.com/2025/04/13/b... Mastodon: @Nonilex@masto.ai : #China Halts Critical Exports as #TradeWar Intensifies  —  China has suspended exports of a wide range of critical minerals & magnets, threatening to choke off supplies of components central to automakers, aerospace manufacturers, semiconductor companies & military contractors around the world. … Chuck Darwin / @cdarwin@c.im : China has suspended exports of a wide range of critical minerals and magnets,  —  threatening to choke off supplies of components central to automakers, aerospace manufacturers, semiconductor companies and military contractors around the world. … X: Gary Marcus / @garymarcus : We are all fucked. Thank you, POTUS, for giving China an excuse to shut down the export of rare earth minerals and magnets, furthering your efforts to drive us all back to the Stone Age. Rakesh Agrawal / @rakeshsfnyc : A real dictator will always trump a wannabe dictator. Eric Michael Garcia / @ericmgarcia : Looks like those exemptions for the tariffs didn't work on China. Now, via @nytimes, it's suspended shipments of magnets and critical minerals to choke off components used to make cars, aerospace technology and semiconductors. [image] Saagar Enjeti / @esaagar : I knew it was coming but its still bad: China has officially halted shipments of several rare earth minerals to the US specifically used as inputs for cars, semiconductors, and aerospace companies US co's have basically zero stockpiles because of balance sheet concerns [image] Rat King / @mikeisaac : glass half full: if iphones cost 20 grand maybe i will learn to read again [image] Spencer Hakimian / @spencerhakimian : China choosing to escalate rather than deescalate. China has a near universal monopoly on rare earth minerals needed for essentially all modern manufacturing. This is a major problem. [image] Charlie Kirk / @charliekirk11 : The fact China is stopping shipments of rare earth minerals proves Trump's point We are blindly reliant on China for our critical needs. If we don't fix if, we are a permanent vassal state. Justin Wolfers / @justinwolfers : Ponder this: Trump thought he was punishing China by making it prohibitively expensive for American manufacturers to buy critically important inputs, and China countered by making it impossible for American manufacturers to buy critically important inputs. https://www.nytimes.com/... Sheel Mohnot / @pitdesi : China has halted rare earth exports. It barely impacts them, (rare earths are a tiny % of exports) but it hits us hard. These are critical inputs for our future supply chains, now effectively cut off. @chamath will save us though [image] LinkedIn: Nicholas Myers : China has halted exports of rare earth metals—an aggressive move aimed at pressuring the U.S. into negotiation. … Forums: r/StockMarket : China Halts Critical Exports as Trade War Intensifies r/neoliberal : China Halts Critical Rare Earth Exports as Trade War Intensifies r/Destiny : China Halts Critical Rare Earth Exports as Trade War Intensifies r/inthenews : China Halts Critical Rare Earth Exports as Trade War Intensifies - The New York Times r/wallstreetbets : China Halts Critical Rare Earth Exports as Trade War Intensifies r/antitrump : Bravo Donald... you screwed the world economies of rare earth minerals. r/Economics : China Halts Critical Exports as Trade War Intensifies r/politics : China Halts Critical Exports as Trade War Intensifies r/worldnews : China Halts Critical Rare Earth Exports as Trade War Intensifies r/news : China Halts Critical Exports as Trade War Intensifies

New York Times Keith Bradsher

Context & Ripple Effects

China had already tightened foreign companies’ access to rare minerals in late 2024, and then imposed restrictions on key rare-earth elements days before this broader suspension. The coverage places the move within an escalating trade confrontation in which control of upstream industrial inputs is becoming a policy tool.

The immediate relevance extends beyond chip production: the affected materials sit across vehicle, aerospace, defense, robotics and drone supply chains. That makes this a wider manufacturing exposure than a dispute confined to finished semiconductors.

First-order effects

  • Automakers, aerospace and defense producers, chip-related manufacturers, and robot and drone makers face an immediate interruption or delay in obtaining the specified minerals and magnets from China.
  • Procurement teams must assess inventories, qualifying alternatives and production schedules; suppliers dependent on Chinese material flows are the most directly exposed.

Second-order effects

  • Manufacturers may shift orders toward non-Chinese material and magnet sources, while downstream customers absorb longer lead times or production adjustments where substitute inputs are not readily qualified.
  • The move raises the leverage of any supplier with established non-Chinese processing or magnet capacity, and forces affected industries to treat materials sourcing as a trade-policy risk rather than a routine purchasing task.

Third-order effects

  • If such controls persist or recur, industrial policy will increasingly span the full technology stack—from chips to the minerals and components required to build hardware—rather than focusing only on finished technology exports.
  • The pattern suggests a more fragmented strategic-supply-chain regime, though its durability depends on whether buyers can build and qualify alternative sources faster than export controls change.

The trend: Critical-mineral and component supply chains are becoming instruments of technology statecraft alongside semiconductor export controls.

Discussion

  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on bluesky
    Trump placed a 145% import tax on Chinese imports and China responded by saying you can't buy these from us anymore at any price.  —  Trump thought they were playing chess but Xi was actually playing Uno.  Reverse.
  • @costasamaras.com Costa Samaras on bluesky
    Last week, @stevenjdavis.bsky.social, @kencaldeira.com, colleagues published a big paper on how increased trade can reduce risks under decarbonization: rdcu.be/ehzOR.  I wrote an introduction to the paper & what it means for energy security: rdcu.be/ehzO6.  Today, this:  —  www.n…
  • @paleofuture Matt Novak on bluesky
    “Drones and robotics are widely considered the future of warfare, and based on everything we are seeing, the critical inputs for our future supply chain are shut down.”
  • @jonasnahm.com Jonas Nahm on bluesky
    This was the predictable response and follows a long pattern of similar export restrictions/license requirements in response to previous trade actions.  Nonetheless, we are not prepared for this.  —  www.nytimes.com/2025/04/13/b...
  • @garymarcus Gary Marcus on x
    We are all fucked. Thank you, POTUS, for giving China an excuse to shut down the export of rare earth minerals and magnets, furthering your efforts to drive us all back to the Stone Age.
  • @rakeshsfnyc Rakesh Agrawal on x
    A real dictator will always trump a wannabe dictator.
  • @ericmgarcia Eric Michael Garcia on x
    Looks like those exemptions for the tariffs didn't work on China. Now, via @nytimes, it's suspended shipments of magnets and critical minerals to choke off components used to make cars, aerospace technology and semiconductors. [image]
  • @esaagar Saagar Enjeti on x
    I knew it was coming but its still bad: China has officially halted shipments of several rare earth minerals to the US specifically used as inputs for cars, semiconductors, and aerospace companies US co's have basically zero stockpiles because of balance sheet concerns [image]
  • @mikeisaac Rat King on x
    glass half full: if iphones cost 20 grand maybe i will learn to read again [image]
  • @spencerhakimian Spencer Hakimian on x
    China choosing to escalate rather than deescalate. China has a near universal monopoly on rare earth minerals needed for essentially all modern manufacturing. This is a major problem. [image]
  • @charliekirk11 Charlie Kirk on x
    The fact China is stopping shipments of rare earth minerals proves Trump's point We are blindly reliant on China for our critical needs. If we don't fix if, we are a permanent vassal state.
  • @justinwolfers Justin Wolfers on x
    Ponder this: Trump thought he was punishing China by making it prohibitively expensive for American manufacturers to buy critically important inputs, and China countered by making it impossible for American manufacturers to buy critically important inputs. https://www.nytimes.com…
  • @pitdesi Sheel Mohnot on x
    China has halted rare earth exports. It barely impacts them, (rare earths are a tiny % of exports) but it hits us hard. These are critical inputs for our future supply chains, now effectively cut off. @chamath will save us though [image]
  • r/StockMarket r on reddit
    China Halts Critical Exports as Trade War Intensifies
  • r/neoliberal r on reddit
    China Halts Critical Rare Earth Exports as Trade War Intensifies
  • r/Destiny r on reddit
    China Halts Critical Rare Earth Exports as Trade War Intensifies
  • r/inthenews r on reddit
    China Halts Critical Rare Earth Exports as Trade War Intensifies - The New York Times
  • r/wallstreetbets r on reddit
    China Halts Critical Rare Earth Exports as Trade War Intensifies
  • r/antitrump r on reddit
    Bravo Donald... you screwed the world economies of rare earth minerals.
  • r/Economics r on reddit
    China Halts Critical Exports as Trade War Intensifies
  • r/politics r on reddit
    China Halts Critical Exports as Trade War Intensifies
  • r/worldnews r on reddit
    China Halts Critical Rare Earth Exports as Trade War Intensifies
  • r/news r on reddit
    China Halts Critical Exports as Trade War Intensifies