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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

days · browse · Enter similar · o open

Bitcoin is down 10%+ to ~$76K after President Trump's global tariffs, far below its record price of nearly $110K on Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025

The rapid drop shows that cryptocurrencies, which the president has promoted, are subject to the same market gyrations as any other risky asset.

New York Times David Yaffe-Bellany

Context & Ripple Effects

Bitcoin’s post-election rally had already shown signs of fading: it slipped below $90,000 in February after reaching more than $108,000 around the inauguration. The latest move extends the unwinding of that rally and puts the contrast with its inauguration-period high into sharper relief.

This was not an isolated crypto move. Days earlier, tariffs coincided with declines in bitcoin, ether and Solana, as well as weaker Coinbase and MicroStrategy shares, tying crypto-market risk more closely to the broader reaction to trade policy.

First-order effects

  • Bitcoin holders face a rapid repricing to roughly $76,000, more than 10% below the prior level and far beneath the inauguration-period record.
  • The selloff directly reinforces the article’s central market signal: bitcoin is trading like a risk-sensitive asset during a tariff-driven shock, despite the president’s promotion of cryptocurrencies.

Second-order effects

  • Crypto-linked public companies and other major tokens may remain exposed when macro risk sentiment weakens; the earlier tariff reaction had already hit Coinbase, MicroStrategy, ether and Solana alongside bitcoin.
  • The decline complicates the case that political support alone can sustain crypto valuations, shifting attention back to broader market conditions rather than policy-friendly rhetoric.

Third-order effects

  • If tariff-related market shocks repeatedly move bitcoin with other risk assets, the asset’s inauguration-era surge may be viewed less as a separate crypto cycle and more as part of a wider risk-on/risk-off trade.
  • That pattern would deepen the crypto legitimacy gap: adoption narratives can coexist with continued dependence on the same macro forces that drive conventional speculative assets.

The trend: Crypto is increasingly being tested as a macro-sensitive risk asset rather than a market insulated by political support or its own adoption narrative.

Discussion

  • @tier10k @tier10k on x
    Good place to start filling long-term bags (with non-perishable food, ammo and medical supplies)
  • @apompliano Anthony Pompliano on x
    There are only two times I can remember the consensus view being this offsides as it is with tariffs: 1. Everyone thinking bitcoin was worthless pre-2019 2. Everyone thinking inflation wouldn't be a problem after printing trillions of dollars during the pandemic How can you
  • @bitcoinpierre Pierre Rochard on x
    They said tariffs would cause inflation, but bitcoin is now more affordable. The experts are always wrong.
  • @rnr_0 Romano on x
    Just checked ETH Fell for it again didn't you?
  • @tyler Tyler Winklevoss on x
    For the first time in history, bitcoin is not moving in lockstep with the stock market. It's now behaving like a hedge to geopolitical uncertainty. When the stock market plunged during Covid, so did bitcoin. And this was always case over the last 10+ yrs. But not this time.
  • @deedydas Deedy on x
    Margin call Monday is upon us! Many public market investors borrowed so much money and are overleveraged. In the last 48hrs since the Trump tariffs, SP500 and Bitcoin are both down 10%+. This may force them to sell triggering a vicious downward spiral. Markets may be very red.
  • @jacobkinge Jacob King on x
    Bitcoin isn't tanking because of tariffs. It's collapsing because the U.S. government is quietly about to unleash new HARSH stablecoin regulations that will obliterate Tether—erasing it from existence. It's about time. For those who aren't aware, Tether props up nearly 85%+ of [i…
  • @choffstein @choffstein on x
    waiting for the bitcoin bros to argue that by having as asset that sells no goods or services and zero future cash flow actually makes it immune to tariff-based market shocks