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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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In backing Trump, effective accelerationists like Musk and Andreessen got a “Decel-in-Chief”, who instigated a brain drain and tariffs that hurt tech companies

In October of 2023, Marc Andreessen, founder of the Silicon Valley venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) …

404 Media Emanuel Maiberg

Context & Ripple Effects

Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz’s 2024 case for backing Trump centered on a pro-crypto posture and objections to what they characterized as startup-harming regulation in their public rationale for supporting Trump. Separate coverage also described their planned support for Trump-aligned PACs as a “Little Tech” political bet backed by planned PAC donations.

This report tests that bet against the administration’s broader economic effects: policies portrayed as producing a tech-worker brain drain and tariffs can conflict with the growth agenda those investors said they wanted.

First-order effects

  • Tech companies face the immediate combination of talent disruption and tariff-related cost pressure described in the report, complicating hiring and operating decisions.
  • Musk, Andreessen, and aligned investors confront a mismatch between their political support and policy outcomes that can slow the companies and founders they back.

Second-order effects

  • Startups and investors may put greater weight on exposure to trade costs and talent mobility when assessing policy risk, rather than treating a deregulatory stance alone as a sufficient advantage.
  • The episode weakens the assumption that a political coalition built around crypto and lighter startup regulation will produce uniformly favorable conditions across the technology sector.

Third-order effects

  • If this pattern persists, tech’s political engagement will become more explicitly portfolio-specific: firms will seek influence over trade, immigration, and AI policy alongside regulation.
  • It is a reminder that a16z’s later influence in Trump-era AI policy does not necessarily translate into an economy-wide policy agenda that benefits every technology business.

The trend: Technology investors are increasingly operating in a state-mediated market where access and influence must be balanced against policy risks to talent, trade, and operating costs.

Discussion

  • @gleemie Lilly Irani on bluesky
    “Musk's X, meanwhile, could be hit with upward of $1 billion in E.U. fines, the New York Times reported Thursday — a politically symbolic move given Musk's close Trump ties.”  —  Drain the swamp of the oligarchy bank accounts, Europe!  —  www.washingtonpost.com/technology/ 2...
  • @stephentotilo Stephen Totilo on bluesky
    NEW: The ESA (the U.S. group repping all big gaming companies) tells me they expect Trump's tariffs to have a “real and detrimental impact”  —  A rep says consoles and other devices likely to be hit by “many” tariffs per device due to sourcing from multiple countries  —  www.game…
  • @zackstanton Zack Stanton on bluesky
    “According to estimates from Bloomberg's Billionaire Index, Tesla CEO Elon Musk personally lost $110 billion from his net worth so far this year, Amazon founder Jeff Bezos $37.6 billion and Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg $18.6 billion.”
  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on bluesky
    Techno-optimists imagine an accelerated future where AI replaces white collar workers and robots blue collar ones.  —  While it's a leopards eating faces moment to point out the tariffs hurt the tech industry elites who are pursuing this vision, I suspect they are still more happ…
  • @joemenn Joseph Menn on bluesky
    Well-done piece by colleagues shows that Big Texh is getting a lot less than it bargained for from Trump. www.washingtonpost.com/technology/ 2...
  • @washingtonpost.com @washingtonpost.com on bluesky
    There is still hope in Silicon Valley that President Trump will deliver deregulation at home and use the tariffs as a stick to beat back foreign countries' efforts to tax and regulate American tech firms.  But the tech giants that invested in cozying up to him have yet to see suc…
  • @pippuri Sami Pippuri on bluesky
    Then again, AI services aren't subject to tariffs, at least for the time being.  It might happen soon, but for now, it's a zero-tariff field with lots to play for.  Get yer compute where it's the cheapest.  [embedded post]
  • @trashiepanda @trashiepanda on bluesky
    Aw....poor babies.  👶  —  Tech moguls who grinned behind Trump at inauguration lose billions in wake of his tariffs announcement:  —  Tech executives had argued that backing Trump might improve U.S. regulatory reform and expand investments in AI.
  • @martinsfp @martinsfp on bluesky
    Womp womp.  —  So scared of a bit more regulation that they held hands with a market-crashing maniac.  [embedded post]
  • @emanuelmaiberg Emanuel Maiberg on bluesky
    all hail the decel in chief www.404media.co/big-tech-bac...
  • @samleecole Sam Cole on bluesky
    “We'd be quiet too if we were them because it's such a humiliating self own.” www.404media.co/big-tech-bac...
  • @MikeElgan@mastodon.social Mike Elgan on mastodon
    Silicon Valley broligarchs can't believe leopards ate their face. https://www.404media.co/...
  • @paulg Paul Graham on x
    Tariffs aren't fighting. Fighting is out-producing other countries. Tariffs are running away. That's why only the weakest countries rely on them. [image]
  • @levie Aaron Levie on x
    CEOs with large global supply chains can't be outspoken on this topic publicly because they need to cut deals. But this is the tone of the convos happening right now.
  • r/qualitynews r on reddit
    Tariff fallout slams Big Tech, despite leaders cozying up to Trump