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Sam Altman says “we are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it” and that OpenAI is turning its focus to superintelligence

The second birthday of ChatGPT was only a little over a month ago, and now we have transitioned into the next paradigm of models that can do complex reasoning.

Sam Altman

Context & Ripple Effects

OpenAI’s leadership had long framed ChatGPT and GPT-4 as steps toward AGI in a broader path to general-purpose intelligence, while Altman had also described ChatGPT’s product destination as a supersmart work assistant. This statement moves the company’s public framing from an intermediate capability goal to the next research frontier.

The claim also foreshadows a recurring ambiguity in OpenAI’s messaging: Altman later characterized a similar assertion that AGI was built or near as a spiritual rather than literal statement. That makes the operational implications—not the label itself—the key signal to watch.

First-order effects

  • OpenAI can orient its research narrative, talent pitch, and model roadmap around superintelligence rather than presenting AGI as a distant end state.
  • Customers and developers receive a stronger signal that OpenAI expects complex-reasoning models to become the platform for higher-value work, extending the earlier personal-assistant ambition.

Second-order effects

  • Rival AI labs face added pressure to articulate both their reasoning-model progress and their own post-AGI research agenda, even as the term remains hard to measure consistently.
  • The gap between broad AGI claims and deployable product capabilities becomes more consequential for enterprise buyers, who will need to assess models through concrete workflow performance rather than labels.

Third-order effects

  • If leading labs increasingly treat AGI as a transitional milestone, competition shifts toward control of the compute, research talent, distribution, and safety processes needed to sustain successive frontier-model releases.
  • The contested meaning of AGI may make capability-based evaluation more important for policymakers and customers than company-defined milestones, particularly as labs communicate plans to public institutions.

The trend: Frontier AI competition is evolving from a race to claim general intelligence into a race to operationalize increasingly capable reasoning systems and define the governance of what follows.

Discussion

  • @domw Dom White on bluesky
    Since no one asked, here's my basic take on AI: it'll be really useful in some cases.  Hell, there are studies demonstrating the efficiency gains it can deliver.  But knowing how that translates at a macro level is really hard.  And scepticism is an inevitable reaction to ludicro…
  • @theopriestley.com Theo on bluesky
    Hot on the heels of “we don't know how we can make a profit” come another marketing hyped statement about building something bigger that you definitely, definitely, want to pay for....  [embedded post]
  • @daniloc.xyz Danilo on bluesky
    Local seven year old says he has done ALL his homework in just 20 minutes; ready to receive video games and candy per the terms of agreement made with parents [embedded post]
  • @mergesort Joe Fabisevich on threads
    I know a lot of people (so many people) that are skeptical about AI, and chalk up any statement from the CEO of foundation model company as hyperbolic or fodder for fundraising.  But I tend to believe them, especially when I see them make claims that will be verifiable in less th…
  • @alliekmiller Allie K. Miller on x
    A blog post from Sam filled with some rather strange in-crowd hints, but a quote I want to make sure everyone sees: “We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it. We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents 'join the
  • @nickadobos Nick Dobos on x
    “We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it.” [image]
  • @singularitynet @singularitynet on x
    We believe there are at least three concrete paths to true AGI, notably our hybrid neural-symbolic Hyperon framework. However, the path to beneficial AGI isn't through corporate control, but through open source development decentralized governance. The race is on @ASI_Alliance.
  • @jeffjarvis @jeffjarvis on x
    Sam Altman reflects. “Superintelligence in the true sense of the word.” There is no true sense of the word. It's made up. AI is amazing enough without the AGI BS. https://blog.samaltman.com/... [image]
  • @skirano Pietro Schirano on x
    OpenAI is also straight shooting for superintelligence now. [image]
  • @teortaxestex @teortaxestex on x
    Sama is honest for once. Furthermore: I predict that the notion of «AGI» will be retired much like the Turing Test. Sonnet is not ELIZA but you can still expose a chatbot if you try. Can you call this fair? You'll be able to prove Sonnet 4/5 is not fully «general». Are humans? [i…
  • @edkrassen Ed Krassenstein on x
    Wow! Sam Altman says that OpenAI is now confident in its ability to build AGI (Artificial General Intelligence). By 2025, they expect AI agents to start materially impacting the workforce and changing company output. And he says OpenAI's next focus is on achieving
  • @kimmonismus @kimmonismus on x
    Sam Altman: AGI is ahead, ASI new focus, agents this year 1) seems like AGI has been achieved, and remember, OpenAI has a very broad and complex definition of it 2) it also seems like they know how to achieve ASI (like Ilya with his research to safe superintelligence) 3) agents […
  • r/technology r on reddit
    OpenAI's Sam Altman says ‘we know how to build AGI’ / The company is now working towards the ‘glorious future’ of superintelligence — which sounds a lot like how it used to describe AGI.