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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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How Saudi media group MBC's Shahid has become the biggest streaming service in MENA with a 22% market share, ahead of Starz Play Arabia's 18% and Netflix's 17%

I'm ecstatic that our impact has been covered by the Financial Times. …

Financial Times

Context & Ripple Effects

Shahid’s lead adds another example of a regional streaming platform holding off global operators: Showmax led Netflix in African subscribers in Omdia’s late-2023 snapshot.

The pattern also has a longer precedent in India, where Hotstar commanded a far larger on-demand share than Amazon and Netflix. The MENA ranking matters because it places a Saudi media group at the center of a closely contested three-player market.

First-order effects

  • Shahid becomes the MENA market leader at 22%, establishing a four-point lead over Starz Play Arabia and a five-point lead over Netflix.
  • Starz Play Arabia and Netflix are immediately positioned as challengers rather than the region’s default streaming leader.

Second-order effects

  • The narrow gap among the top three raises competitive pressure on all three services to protect or win subscriber share, making MENA a more consequential battleground for their programming and distribution choices.
  • Shahid’s result gives MBC a stronger market-positioning advantage when competing for audiences and commercial partners against the two established rivals.

Third-order effects

  • If regional leaders continue to prevail across distinct markets, streaming competition will look less like a single global winner-take-most contest and more like a set of locally contested markets.
  • The outcome reinforces that global scale alone does not determine regional streaming leadership; local platforms can remain durable gatekeepers for audiences and partners.

The trend: Streaming is fragmenting into regional contests in which locally rooted services can lead global platforms in their home markets.