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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Netflix reports Q1 revenue up 15% YoY to $9.37B, vs. $9.28B est., paid memberships up 16% YoY to 269.6M, vs. 264.2M est., and net income up 79% YoY to $2.33B

LOS ANGELESNetflix reported earnings that beat on the top and bottom line after the bell Thursday.  —  Here are the results:

CNBC Sarah Whitten

Context & Ripple Effects

Netflix’s Q1 results mark a sharp improvement from its slower 2022 growth and declining net income, with double-digit gains in revenue and paid memberships accompanied by a much faster rise in profit.

The report established a stronger earnings baseline that was subsequently reinforced by Q2 revenue and membership growth and another Q3 earnings beat, making the Q1 margin expansion more consequential than a one-quarter estimate surprise.

First-order effects

  • Netflix exceeded revenue, membership, and net-income expectations, reaching $9.37B in revenue, 269.6M paid memberships, and $2.33B in net income.
  • The 79% year-over-year rise in net income means profit grew materially faster than revenue in the quarter.

Second-order effects

  • The result raises the operating benchmark for Netflix’s subsequent quarters: continued membership growth is now being assessed alongside the company’s ability to convert that growth into profit.
  • A beat across revenue, memberships, and earnings strengthens Netflix’s position as its reported subscriber base approaches 270M, increasing pressure on streaming rivals to demonstrate comparable scale or profitability.

Third-order effects

  • If revenue growth and profit expansion continue together, streaming competition may be judged less on subscriber additions alone and more on whether large subscriber bases produce durable earnings.
  • The sequence from Q1 through later reported Q2 and Q3 beats suggests a shift toward a more mature, execution-focused phase for Netflix, though the available coverage does not establish what will sustain that pattern.

The trend: Netflix is becoming a case study in streaming’s shift from subscriber-growth reporting toward proving that scale can translate into sustained profitability.

Discussion

  • @lucas_shaw Lucas Shaw on x
    Netflix added more than 9 million customers last quarter. Another massive beat. It now has 270 million subscribers and more than 500 million total users. It generated a (record) profit of $2.3 billion. Story TK.
  • @lucas_shaw Lucas Shaw on x
    Shares in Netflix are down despite a blockbuster quarter. Two likely reasons: 1/ Investors already expected big numbers. Shares are up 25% this year. 2/ The boost from password sharing is coming to an end sooner rather than later. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @lanceulanoff Lance Ulanoff on x
    Looks like that anti-password sharing strategy panned out Netflix Q1 2024 Earnings: 9.3M Subscriber Adds https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/ ...
  • r/Piracy r on reddit
    Netflix Adds 9.33 Million Subscribers in Q1, Blowing Past Estimates to Reach Nearly 270 Million Total
  • r/boxoffice r on reddit
    Netflix Adds 9.33 Million Subscribers In Q1, Blowing Past Estimates To Reach Nearly 270 Million Total
  • r/entertainment r on reddit
    Netflix blows past earnings estimates as subscribers jump 16% to 269.6 million
  • r/cordcutters r on reddit
    Netflix Adds 9.33 Million Subscribers in Q1, Blowing Past Estimates, to Reach Nearly 270 Million Total
  • r/wallstreetbets r on reddit
    Netflix blows past earnings estimates as subscribers jump 16%
  • r/technology r on reddit
    Netflix blows past earnings estimates as subscribers jump 16%
  • r/television r on reddit
    Netflix Adds 9.33 Million Subscribers in Q1, Blowing Past Estimates, to Reach Nearly 270 Million Total
  • @pkafka Peter Kafka on threads
    Old Netflix: We are crushing it.  Look at our sub numbers!  Recent Netflix: We are crushing it.  But stop looking at our sub numbers!  New Netflix: We are crushing it.  And we're going to stop sharing our sub numbers with you. https://www.businessinsider.com/ ...
  • @sherman4949 Alex Sherman on x
    Apple and Amazon have never reported subscriber numbers for their streaming services either, but their stocks don't trade on streaming. Netflix is a pure streaming play. To stop providing subscriber numbers at all is a huge change for Wall Street.
  • @lucas_shaw Lucas Shaw on x
    A nightmare!
  • @tvmojoe @tvmojoe on x
    Whoa, if I'm reading this correctly, Netflix is going to stop updating subscriber numbers every quarter? From shareholder letter: “Starting next year with our Q1'25 earnings, we will stop reporting quarterly membership numbers and ARM.
  • @lucas_shaw Lucas Shaw on x
    Netflix loves to talk about the importance of transparency. The decision to stop reporting subscriber numbers undercuts that message.
  • @sherman4949 Alex Sherman on x
    If you want to get Wall Street to stop focusing on a metric, just don't report it anymore! Netflix will stop reporting quarterly sub gains/losses in the first quarter of 2025, it announces. Shares down about 4% after market.
  • r/movies r on reddit
    Netflix Will Stop Reporting Subscriber Numbers Starting in 2025
  • r/netflix r on reddit
    Netflix Will Stop Reporting Subscriber Numbers Starting in 2025