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Chainalysis says some recent media reports about the supposed use of crypto by terrorist organizations might be overstating metrics and using “flawed analyses”

But It's Deadly Hannah Lang / Reuters : US lawmakers urge White House crack down on Hamas use of crypto after Israel attack Assad Jafri / CryptoSlate : Chainalysis says crypto usage for terror financing is ‘tiny fraction’ of overall volume Elliptic : Gaza Crypto Broker Sanctioned by US Treasury Turner Wright / Cointelegraph : US Treasury sanctions Gaza-based crypto operator allegedly tied to Hamas Sander Lutz / Decrypt : What Role Is Crypto Actually Playing in the Israel-Palestine Conflict? X: @iampaulgrewal : It's disappointing that some would capitalize on a tragedy to scapegoat crypto while ignoring significant terror finance elsewhere. But no currency—whether fiat, gold, or crypto—should ever be used to support terrorism. Here's how we fight it at @coinbase. https://www.coinbase.com/... Conor / @jconorgrogan : The treasury department has sanctioned a Hamas-linked wallet as Politico reports that “Crypto's role in financing Hamas' activity has emerged as a hot issue for lawmakers” The sanctioned wallet has $16 in it and made its last transfer 18 months ago [image] Steven Nerayoff / @stevennerayoff : Could @SenWarren be right crypto is used to fund terrorism? @SBF_FTX donated $39 million just to her party's midterm election. She may have a point but referring to her party in such derogatory terms is going too far. Some may be unpatriotic but come on terrorists? @JohnEDeaton1 Rep. Mike Levin / @repmikelevin : In the months leading up to Hamas' brutal attack against Israel, Hamas raised millions of dollars via crypto, evading U.S. sanctions. I joined over 100 of my colleagues in urging @POTUS to address and prevent crypto-financed terrorism. https://www.reuters.com/... Tim O'Brien / @timobrien : Eighty-six members of Congress representing both Democrats and Republicans pressed the Biden administration for details on how it plans to prevent militant organizations from using crypto in the “financing of terrorism.” Read here: https://www.bloomberg.com/... Pauly / @pauly0x : Web3 = corporate terrorism 👎 Crypto 2.0 = freedom for all 👍 @billhughesdc : Glad to see @chainalysis correcting the record on crypto and terrorist financing in this blog post. The key points: 1) Terrorism financing is a very small portion of the already very small portion (0.24% of total volume in 2022) of cryptocurrency transaction volume that is... @zerohedge : *BROWN, WARREN QUERY US PLAN TO CURB CRYPTO FINANCING TERRORISM Can't have those $2,000 crypto donations possibly overtaking the billions in cash paradrops [image] Sherrod Brown / @sensherrodbrown : Hamas's terrorism is fueled by cryptocurrency. We need to crack down on illicit crypto and stop terrorists from moving money around, evading sanctions, and funding their acts of evil. We must curb this emerging threat & protect our national security. [image] @lex_node : imo Warren and the Biden admin are desperately using crypto as a scapegoat to distract from the fact that the Biden admin authorized BILLIONS of dollars in “aid” etc that likely is the real source of funding for Hamas Elizabeth Warren / @senwarren : Hamas raised millions via crypto in the months leading up to their attack on Israel. @RogerMarshallMD, @RepCasten and I are leading 100+ lawmakers urging the Biden admin to address crypto-financed terrorism. https://www.reuters.com/... Mike Dudas / @mdudas : warren: “how do we prevent crypto-financed terrorism?” hamas: “please don't send us money via crypto - it's not effective; the israelis can freeze and seize it” [image] David Dayen / @ddayen : You may remember the Blockchain 8, who tried to stop SEC investigations into crypto. They've been quiet after reports that Hamas used crypto to fund itself. In fact, 2 of the Blockchain 8 signed onto @SenWarren's effort to stop crypto money laundering: https://prospect.org/... [image] Peter Van Valkenburgh / @valkenburgh : Sensational early reporting on the scale of Hamas crypto fundraising significantly misstated the amounts involved. In this important debunking Chainalysis shows how actual terrorist usage may be 1/2-of-1% of the previously reported numbers. [image] Jeff Roberts / @jeffjohnroberts : This @chainalysis “Correcting the record” post feels like a direct response to that overblown WSJ report that crypto was a prime cause of the Hamas attack https://www.chainalysis.com/ ... @chainalysis : In recent days following the horrific terrorist attack by Hamas in Israel, we have seen overstated metrics and flawed analyses of terrorist groups' use of cryptocurrency, and feel compelled to address some misconceptions. 🧵 Chris Doerfler / @cmdoerfler : one of the patently false statements by Chainalysis. “The unique transparency inherent in blockchain technology makes cryptocurrency particularly traceable and thus less suitable for illicit activities, including financing terrorism.” https://www.chainalysis.com/ ... Neeraj K Agrawal / @neerajka : Chainalysis explains why recent viral estimates of Hamas' crypto use are likely inflated. It looks those estimates assume *all* flows through services providers that process illicit transactions are illicit. That's probably not the case https://www.chainalysis.com/ ... @chainalysis : One such service is Buy Cash, a Gaza-based business that provides money transfer and virtual currency exchange services that was sanctioned by @USTreasury and OFAC today (we'll have more on Buy Cash later). https://home.treasury.gov/... LinkedIn: John Boscariol : US OFAC sanctions “ten key Hamas terrorist group members, operatives, and financial facilitators in Gaza and elsewhere including Sudan, Türkiye, Algeria, and Qatar.” … Forums: r/ethtrader : Correcting Recent Claims on Crypto's Role in Terrorism Financing

The Block RT Watson

Context & Ripple Effects

The dispute follows research assigning substantial receipts to wallets linked to Palestinian Islamic Jihad and Hamas, while Chainalysis argues that wallet-level totals can be misread as funds directly controlled or spent by a group. That makes the earlier wallet-receipt estimates a methodological flashpoint rather than a settled measure of terrorist financing.

The argument arrives alongside enforcement aimed at specific actors: OFAC sanctioned a Gaza-based crypto operator, and FinCEN moved to designate international mixing as a primary money-laundering concern. The proposed mixer designation shows policy was already moving toward transaction infrastructure, not solely broad claims about crypto volume.

First-order effects

  • Chainalysis must defend its analytics and the distinction between identifiable illicit flows and aggregate wallet activity; its estimate puts terror financing at a tiny share of total crypto volume.
  • Lawmakers and enforcement agencies retain a concrete basis to target named operators and facilitators, but the public case for sweeping crypto restrictions faces sharper scrutiny over how exposure is measured.

Second-order effects

  • Exchanges, blockchain-analytics vendors, and compliance teams face greater pressure to document attribution methods, trace intermediary wallets, and explain whether reported totals represent receipts, holdings, or usable funds.
  • The disagreement can shift policy debate toward controls around mixers and high-risk service providers, rather than treating all crypto transactions as equally tied to terror-financing risk.

Third-order effects

  • Crypto policy is likely to be shaped increasingly by a legitimacy contest over measurement: credible, reproducible attribution becomes as important as identifying illicit activity.
  • If enforcement continues to focus on financial chokepoints while public estimates remain contested, regulation may become more infrastructure-specific—but politically charged narratives can still sustain broader restrictions.

The trend: This is one instance of the crypto legitimacy gap, in which the sector’s regulatory future turns on whether illicit-use claims are both actionable and methodologically defensible.

Discussion

  • @iampaulgrewal @iampaulgrewal on x
    It's disappointing that some would capitalize on a tragedy to scapegoat crypto while ignoring significant terror finance elsewhere. But no currency—whether fiat, gold, or crypto—should ever be used to support terrorism. Here's how we fight it at @coinbase. https://www.coinbase.co…
  • @jconorgrogan Conor on x
    The treasury department has sanctioned a Hamas-linked wallet as Politico reports that “Crypto's role in financing Hamas' activity has emerged as a hot issue for lawmakers” The sanctioned wallet has $16 in it and made its last transfer 18 months ago [image]
  • @stevennerayoff Steven Nerayoff on x
    Could @SenWarren be right crypto is used to fund terrorism? @SBF_FTX donated $39 million just to her party's midterm election. She may have a point but referring to her party in such derogatory terms is going too far. Some may be unpatriotic but come on terrorists? @JohnEDeaton1
  • @repmikelevin Rep. Mike Levin on x
    In the months leading up to Hamas' brutal attack against Israel, Hamas raised millions of dollars via crypto, evading U.S. sanctions. I joined over 100 of my colleagues in urging @POTUS to address and prevent crypto-financed terrorism. https://www.reuters.com/...
  • @timobrien Tim O'Brien on x
    Eighty-six members of Congress representing both Democrats and Republicans pressed the Biden administration for details on how it plans to prevent militant organizations from using crypto in the “financing of terrorism.” Read here: https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @pauly0x Pauly on x
    Web3 = corporate terrorism 👎 Crypto 2.0 = freedom for all 👍
  • @billhughesdc @billhughesdc on x
    Glad to see @chainalysis correcting the record on crypto and terrorist financing in this blog post. The key points: 1) Terrorism financing is a very small portion of the already very small portion (0.24% of total volume in 2022) of cryptocurrency transaction volume that is...
  • @zerohedge @zerohedge on x
    *BROWN, WARREN QUERY US PLAN TO CURB CRYPTO FINANCING TERRORISM Can't have those $2,000 crypto donations possibly overtaking the billions in cash paradrops [image]
  • @sensherrodbrown Sherrod Brown on x
    Hamas's terrorism is fueled by cryptocurrency. We need to crack down on illicit crypto and stop terrorists from moving money around, evading sanctions, and funding their acts of evil. We must curb this emerging threat & protect our national security. [image]
  • @lex_node @lex_node on x
    imo Warren and the Biden admin are desperately using crypto as a scapegoat to distract from the fact that the Biden admin authorized BILLIONS of dollars in “aid” etc that likely is the real source of funding for Hamas
  • @senwarren Elizabeth Warren on x
    Hamas raised millions via crypto in the months leading up to their attack on Israel. @RogerMarshallMD, @RepCasten and I are leading 100+ lawmakers urging the Biden admin to address crypto-financed terrorism. https://www.reuters.com/...
  • @mdudas Mike Dudas on x
    warren: “how do we prevent crypto-financed terrorism?” hamas: “please don't send us money via crypto - it's not effective; the israelis can freeze and seize it” [image]
  • @ddayen David Dayen on x
    You may remember the Blockchain 8, who tried to stop SEC investigations into crypto. They've been quiet after reports that Hamas used crypto to fund itself. In fact, 2 of the Blockchain 8 signed onto @SenWarren's effort to stop crypto money laundering: https://prospect.org/... [i…
  • @valkenburgh Peter Van Valkenburgh on x
    Sensational early reporting on the scale of Hamas crypto fundraising significantly misstated the amounts involved. In this important debunking Chainalysis shows how actual terrorist usage may be 1/2-of-1% of the previously reported numbers. [image]
  • @jeffjohnroberts Jeff Roberts on x
    This @chainalysis “Correcting the record” post feels like a direct response to that overblown WSJ report that crypto was a prime cause of the Hamas attack https://www.chainalysis.com/ ...
  • @chainalysis @chainalysis on x
    In recent days following the horrific terrorist attack by Hamas in Israel, we have seen overstated metrics and flawed analyses of terrorist groups' use of cryptocurrency, and feel compelled to address some misconceptions. 🧵
  • @cmdoerfler Chris Doerfler on x
    one of the patently false statements by Chainalysis. “The unique transparency inherent in blockchain technology makes cryptocurrency particularly traceable and thus less suitable for illicit activities, including financing terrorism.” https://www.chainalysis.com/ ...
  • @neerajka Neeraj K Agrawal on x
    Chainalysis explains why recent viral estimates of Hamas' crypto use are likely inflated. It looks those estimates assume *all* flows through services providers that process illicit transactions are illicit. That's probably not the case https://www.chainalysis.com/ ...
  • @chainalysis @chainalysis on x
    One such service is Buy Cash, a Gaza-based business that provides money transfer and virtual currency exchange services that was sanctioned by @USTreasury and OFAC today (we'll have more on Buy Cash later). https://home.treasury.gov/...
  • r/ethtrader r on reddit
    Correcting Recent Claims on Crypto's Role in Terrorism Financing