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The story behind the story

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Apple Q3 revenue: iPhone down 2.4% YoY to $39.7B, Mac down 7.3% YoY to $6.8B, iPad down 19.8% to $5.8B, and Wearables, Home, and Accessories up 2.5% to $8.3B

Aaron Tilley / Wall Street Journal :

Wall Street Journal Aaron Tilley

Context & Ripple Effects

Apple entered this quarter after mixed category performance: Q2 Mac and iPad declines contrasted with modest iPhone growth, while the preceding Q1 had already brought iPhone and Mac revenue lower. The latest results extend the pressure into iPhone, Mac and iPad at once.

The category split matters because Wearables, Home, and Accessories was the only reported group to grow, albeit modestly, while the company’s larger device lines contracted. A later Q4 rebound in iPhone revenue underscores how central the phone category remains to any near-term recovery.

First-order effects

  • Apple’s reported hardware mix shifts toward Wearables, Home, and Accessories as iPhone, Mac and iPad revenue decline year over year; iPad is the sharpest reported drop.
  • The results put immediate pressure on Apple to restore growth in its core device categories, particularly iPhone, which remains far larger than the growing accessories grouping.

Second-order effects

  • Suppliers and channel partners tied to Macs and iPads face weaker reported demand signals, while those serving the wearables and accessories category see comparatively firmer momentum.
  • Competitors in phones, PCs and tablets gain an opening to contest replacement purchases while Apple’s major device categories are declining; the extent of any share shift is not established by these results alone.

Third-order effects

  • If growth repeatedly depends on smaller adjacent hardware categories while core devices fluctuate, Apple’s revenue mix becomes more sensitive to the timing of refresh cycles across several product lines rather than a single iPhone-driven trajectory.
  • The sequence points to a maturing-device-market pattern in which category performance can diverge sharply quarter to quarter, making ecosystem attach categories more strategically important even when they cannot yet offset weakness in larger lines.

The trend: Apple’s results are one data point in the broadening of consumer-device revenue away from synchronized growth across phones, PCs and tablets toward uneven, category-specific refresh cycles and accessory attachment.

Discussion

  • @asymco@mastodon.social @asymco@mastodon.social on mastodon
    iPhone revenues were largely flat (-2%).  Contrast with almost 30% contractions for many markets and Android brands.
  • @asymco@mastodon.social @asymco@mastodon.social on mastodon
    Mac is down 7% in revenues y/y. iPad down 20%.  Both had tough compares from the covid surge.
  • @benbajarin Ben Bajarin on x
    While I dislike customer satisfaction as a metric, our @creativestrat Mac customer satisfaction score is 97%. More importantly the Mac, in our @DelightScale scoring methodology, Mac beat competing premium PC products by 72 points and switchers to the Mac gave the highest...
  • @zerohedge @zerohedge on x
    Apple revenue breakdown: everything except services slowing [image]
  • @divestech Dan Ives on x
    Solid Apple results with the all important services beat front and center. Overall generally in line quarter with all focus around China commentary which was a source of strength in the quarter. This quarter takes a back seat to iPhone 15 drumroll for Sept..all focus on call 🍎
  • @greengart Avi Greengart on x
    .@tim_cook explains that iPads are off 20% in part due to the launch of iPad Air this quarter last year. Still, that's a significant drop-off, and my research shows that iPad just isn't as critical for most consumers as their phone or (during/post-pandemic) or PC.
  • @benbajarin Ben Bajarin on x
    Apple saying record number of switchers to iPhone in June Q. Also almost half of all Mac sales to first time buyers. Once competitors lose a customer to Apple they do not come back.
  • @zerohedge @zerohedge on x
    *APPLE CFO: IPAD, MAC REVENUE TO DECLINE DOUBLE DIGITS IN Q4
  • @vadimyuryev Vadim Yuryev on x
    The iPhone 15 lineup will NOT get delayed! How do we know? Apple says that iPhone sales performance will accelerate in the current quarter, which includes July, August, and September. If they were planning on a delay until October, iPhone sales would drop severely this Q.
  • @vadimyuryev Vadim Yuryev on x
    @neilcybart Wow, that's a huge drop in iPad sales, especially year over year.