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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Experts: the FTC faces hurdles to appeal the Activision ruling as the facts work in Microsoft's favor; some question the judge's standard on harming competition

but their $69 billion deal isn't a sure thing yet John Quintet / iPhone in Canada Blog : Microsoft-Activision Deal Allowed to Proceed, Rules Judge Matt O'Brien / TIME : Judge Declines to Block Microsoft's Record $69 Billion Deal to Buy Activision Blizzard Kevin Purdy / Ars Technica : Judge sides with Microsoft in FTC injunction, unlocking final Activision battles Leonardo Biazzi / Dot Esports : Gamers celebrate Microsoft beating FTC in court to buy Activision: 'It's finally over' Michael Kan / PCMag : Microsoft Prevails Over FTC: US Judge Denies Bid to Block Activision Deal Jenny Darmody / Silicon Republic : Microsoft-Activision deal can proceed, US court rules Ted Johnson / Deadline : Federal Judge Rejects FTC Effort To Halt Microsoft-Activision Merger Anwesha Mitra / Livemint : US judge greenlights $69 billion Microsoft-Activision deal, FTC may appeal verdict William Gallagher / AppleInsider : Microsoft victorious over FTC lawsuit to block Activision Blizzard buy Kevin Hurler / Gizmodo : Microsoft Gets the Green Light to Purchase Activision Blizzard in Victory Over FTC Katharine Gemmell / Bloomberg : UK Antitrust Agency Pauses Microsoft-Activision Appeal on FTC Court Loss in US Andy Chalk / PC Gamer : Microsoft wins against FTC, clearing vital hurdle for Activision Blizzard acquisition RTÉ : S judge rules Microsoft deal to buy Activision can go forward John Callaham / Neowin : Microsoft wins latest legal battle against FTC over Activision Blizzard acquisition WRAL TechWire : Judge won't block Microsoft's $69B takeover of video games giant Activision Bradly Shankar / MobileSyrup : Microsoft wins U.S. court case over Activision Blizzard acquisition Dalton Cooper / Game Rant : Judge Rules in Favor of Microsoft's Activision Blizzard Acquisition Ethan Gach / Kotaku : Microsoft Wins Court Battle Against FTC Over Activision Blizzard Acquisition

Reuters Mike Scarcella

Context & Ripple Effects

The ruling followed the EU's approval with commitments aimed at preserving rivals' access to key games, including EU-backed access concessions for rival game services. It also immediately strengthened Microsoft's position after the court found the FTC's harm theories unlikely to prevail in seeking an injunction to halt the transaction before closing.

The analysis matters because it distinguishes an initial courtroom loss from the FTC's remaining appeal options, while the UK regulator and Microsoft had already paused litigation to discuss a possible restructuring of the UK review process.

First-order effects

  • Microsoft can continue pursuing the acquisition without a US preliminary injunction, while the FTC must clear a higher practical bar to reverse that result on appeal.
  • The decision shifts immediate leverage toward Microsoft in parallel regulatory discussions; the FTC's challenge remains live rather than conclusively resolved.

Second-order effects

  • UK negotiations become more consequential to the deal timetable, since the US ruling leaves UK-specific concerns as the principal near-term obstacle described in the coverage.
  • The EU's concession-based approval gives Microsoft a concrete model for addressing access concerns, putting pressure on regulators and parties to test remedies rather than rely solely on blocking the deal.

Third-order effects

  • If courts continue demanding transaction-specific evidence of competitive harm, merger agencies may need to build more detailed records for cases centered on future platform access and foreclosure theories.
  • The case points toward jurisdiction-specific deal design: global technology acquisitions may increasingly close only after different regulators accept tailored remedies or rights arrangements.

The trend: Large technology mergers are increasingly being decided through a mix of litigation-tested harm theories and jurisdiction-specific remedies rather than a single global regulatory outcome.

Discussion

  • Gameranx Ryan Parreno on x
    FTC Might Still Appeal Their Injunction Case Vs Microsoft Activision Deal
  • @goldman Jason Goldman on threads
    Also revealed in PGA-LIV merger docs that Activision was the Saudi Public Investment Fund's #2 position at 9.1% of the portfolio (3.2B)