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Nielsen: Netflix accounts for between 7% and 8% of TV viewing in the US every month and between 70% to 80% of the top 10 shows in the US every week

Good afternoon from Ojai, California, where I am celebrating my girlfriend's birthday.  Lunch was interrupted by huge news … LinkedIn: Satoshi Ido . Tweets: @lucas_shaw , @benedictevans , @lucas_shaw , @markets , @lucas_shaw , @tvgrimreaper , @benedictevans , @lucas_shaw , @jontypesthings , and @adrianweckler See also Mediagazer LinkedIn: Satoshi Ido : I like Netflix and also I like to know how they have survived in this competitive streaming service industry.  —  Analysis of America's streaming service. … Tweets: Lucas Shaw / @lucas_shaw : The most popular rerun on streaming is NCIS. It has spent more than 100 weeks in the Nielsen top 10. https://twitter.com/... Benedict Evans / @benedictevans : Putting that another way - Netflix changes cable but doesn't change TV. Youtube (and Tiktok) changes TV Lucas Shaw / @lucas_shaw : Big media companies surrendered billions of dollars by refusing to license old hits to Netflix, and keeping them for their one services instead. That worked...to a point. The one area where Netflix has lost a lot of ground to competitors is in acquired shows. https://twitter.com/... @markets : Netflix still dominates other streaming services in viewing and new hits, but it is showing weakness in two key areas. https://www.bloomberg.com/... Lucas Shaw / @lucas_shaw : Despite intense competition, Netflix still accounts for 2-5X more viewing than any of its direct competitors. It also accounts for about 70% of the most-viewed streaming titles every week. https://twitter.com/... @tvgrimreaper : Pick your headline: Nobody watches any Hulu original show except #HandmaidsTale. Almost all original streaming shows are lightly watched compared to successful broadcast TV shows. https://twitter.com/... https://twitter.com/... Benedict Evans / @benedictevans : The fact that Netflix spends as much as any traditional TV company on commissioning content seems to me as much a sign of weakness as strength - it has to spend what any other media company spends, and tech doesn't give it a different path. https://twitter.com/... Lucas Shaw / @lucas_shaw : In other news, we crunched some numbers to reveal the most popular streaming shows in the US/world — and how streaming services stack up against one another. https://www.bloomberg.com/... Jon / @jontypesthings : Imagine spending *billions* to kill your legacy TV business only to get effortlessly bodied by Netflix month after month https://twitter.com/... Adrian Weckler / @adrianweckler : Netflix's lead over other streamers is gigantic. https://www.bloomberg.com/... https://twitter.com/... See also Mediagazer

Bloomberg

Context & Ripple Effects

Nielsen's new numbers put a precise shape on a shift the coverage has been tracking for years. In 2019, Netflix estimated it accounted for 10% of US TV screen time; Nielsen now measures its monthly share at 7–8% — a decline that tracks the weak US market and subscriber misses of 2019 and the ad-supported pivot Hastings laid out in 2022. Yet the same data show Netflix taking 70–80% of the weekly top 10, a concentration that revives the near-monopoly worries studios and cable channels voiced back in 2016.

First-order effects

  • Netflix's cultural footprint is now far larger than its viewing footprint: it owns roughly three-quarters of the weekly top 10 while drawing under a tenth of total TV time, meaning linear networks and rival streamers are being crowded out of the charts, not just the audience.

Second-order effects

  • The rerun engine matters as much as originals — Nielsen's related data show nine of the ten most-watched streaming programs are reruns, with NCIS the most popular — so licensed-library owners face pressure to reprice or pull back content that effectively markets Netflix's dominance.

Third-order effects

  • If top-of-chart concentration holds while total share drifts down, the endgame is structural consolidation — Netflix is already pursuing a proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery — pushing regulators and rivals toward the monopoly questions first raised in 2016, now backed by measurement rather than fret.

The trend: US television is bifurcating into a long tail of fragmented viewing and a top-10 chart that a single streamer increasingly owns, making Nielsen's measurement the battleground for the next round of consolidation fights.

Discussion

  • @lucas_shaw Lucas Shaw on x
    The most popular rerun on streaming is NCIS. It has spent more than 100 weeks in the Nielsen top 10. https://twitter.com/...
  • @benedictevans Benedict Evans on x
    Putting that another way - Netflix changes cable but doesn't change TV. Youtube (and Tiktok) changes TV
  • @lucas_shaw Lucas Shaw on x
    Big media companies surrendered billions of dollars by refusing to license old hits to Netflix, and keeping them for their one services instead. That worked...to a point. The one area where Netflix has lost a lot of ground to competitors is in acquired shows. https://twitter.com/…
  • @markets @markets on x
    Netflix still dominates other streaming services in viewing and new hits, but it is showing weakness in two key areas. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @lucas_shaw Lucas Shaw on x
    Despite intense competition, Netflix still accounts for 2-5X more viewing than any of its direct competitors. It also accounts for about 70% of the most-viewed streaming titles every week. https://twitter.com/...
  • @tvgrimreaper @tvgrimreaper on x
    Pick your headline: Nobody watches any Hulu original show except #HandmaidsTale. Almost all original streaming shows are lightly watched compared to successful broadcast TV shows. https://twitter.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @benedictevans Benedict Evans on x
    The fact that Netflix spends as much as any traditional TV company on commissioning content seems to me as much a sign of weakness as strength - it has to spend what any other media company spends, and tech doesn't give it a different path. https://twitter.com/...
  • @lucas_shaw Lucas Shaw on x
    In other news, we crunched some numbers to reveal the most popular streaming shows in the US/world — and how streaming services stack up against one another. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @jontypesthings Jon on x
    Imagine spending *billions* to kill your legacy TV business only to get effortlessly bodied by Netflix month after month https://twitter.com/...
  • @adrianweckler Adrian Weckler on x
    Netflix's lead over other streamers is gigantic. https://www.bloomberg.com/... https://twitter.com/...