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Chronicles

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OEMs to stop selling PCs with Windows 7 by October 31, 2016

Within a year, OEMs will only be able to ship PCs with Windows 10.  —  In February last year, Microsoft said that it would give a one year warning of when systems with Windows 7 preinstalled would no longer be available from OEMs.

Ars Technica Peter Bright

Context & Ripple Effects

This deadline was set a year earlier, when Microsoft told OEMs it would give twelve months' notice before Windows 7 preinstalls disappeared from new PCs — so nothing here is a surprise, it is the warning expiring on schedule. From October 31 onward, any consumer PC an OEM ships comes with Windows 10 already installed, closing off the last mainstream channel for new Windows 7 machines.

The pattern matters because Microsoft has since run the identical play on its successor: ending Windows 10 Home and Pro sales in January 2023 while support continued, and finally cutting Windows 10 support entirely with a paid Extended Security Updates escape hatch — the same sell-stop-then-support-end sequencing now visible in this 2016 cutoff.

First-order effects

  • OEMs lose the option to preinstall Windows 7 on new hardware as of October 31, making Windows 10 the only shipping consumer configuration and pushing holdout buyers toward either new-license Windows 10 machines or existing inventory.
  • Enterprises keep a pressure valve: Microsoft's related commitment lets paying customers stretch Windows 7 through extended support until 2023, so the OEM cutoff hits retail channels first, not corporate fleets.

Second-order effects

  • Application vendors follow the installed base down rather than up — Google's later decision to drop Chrome for Windows 7 and 8.1 by February 2023 shows browser support tracking the OS tail, shrinking what old machines can safely run even before official end of support.
  • The cutoff funnels the desktop base toward Windows 10 ahead of its own lifecycle milestones, which is why the 2020 end-of-support announcement found Windows 7 still holding roughly 40% of the desktop market despite four years without new PCs.

Third-order effects

  • If the sequence holds — sales cutoff, then free-support end, then paid Extended Security Updates — every Windows generation becomes a managed sunset with a predictable revenue floor from late adopters, and third-party ecosystems like browsers time their own exits to Microsoft's calendar.

The trend: Microsoft runs each Windows generation through a fixed sell-stop-then-sunset cadence, with OEM channels cut first, free support second, and paid extended security as the long tail.