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Microsoft plans to stop selling Windows 10 Home and Pro on its site on January 31, 2023, but keep supporting the OS until October 14, 2025

The Verge Tom Warren

Context & Ripple Effects

Pulling Windows 10 Home and Pro from Microsoft's own store on January 31, 2023 is the first step in an end-of-life playbook Microsoft has run before: when Windows 7 support ended in January 2020, enterprises could pay for extended updates through 2023. This time the sales cutoff lands more than two and a half years before the October 14, 2025 support deadline, giving the install base a long runway to move.

The stop-sale matters because the exit path has since hardened into a paywall: consumers were later limited to one year of Extended Security Updates for $30, and Microsoft 365 apps were slated to drop Windows 10 entirely after the same date.

First-order effects

  • New buyers lose the option to purchase Windows 10 licenses directly from Microsoft, pushing them to Windows 11 machines or remaining retail/OEM stock while support continues until October 14, 2025.

Second-order effects

  • The shrinking sales channel funnels the installed base toward Microsoft's paid Extended Security Updates program — $30 for one year for consumers, three additional years of monthly updates on the enterprise side — turning end-of-life into recurring revenue.

Third-order effects

  • If the Windows 7-to-Windows 10 pattern holds, the October 2025 cutoff forces a hardware and license refresh cycle across the ~40% of Windows PCs still on Windows 10, with Microsoft monetizing the tail via subscriptions rather than free extensions.

The trend: Microsoft is converting operating-system end-of-life into a paid security-update subscription that accelerates migration to its newest platform, repeating the Windows 7 playbook at larger scale.

Discussion

  • @tomwarren Tom Warren on x
    Microsoft will stop selling Windows 10 downloads later this month. It comes more than 2 years before Microsoft will end support for Windows 10 in October 2025 https://www.theverge.com/...