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Netflix to Launch in Japan in Fall of 2015

Todd Spangler / Variety :

Variety Todd Spangler

Context & Ripple Effects

Netflix's announcement that it would launch its streaming service in Japan in the fall of 2015 was the opening move of what became a coordinated push into Asia — by September it had committed to Singapore, South Korea, Hong Kong, and Taiwan for early 2016, alongside an October entry into Italy, Spain, and Portugal in Europe (four more Asian markets).

The distribution groundwork came via SoftBank, which handled carrier billing and pre-installed the app on phones, removing the payment friction that had slowed foreign services in Japan. The competitive stakes were set immediately: Amazon put live streaming into Prime memberships in Japan starting Sept. 2 at no extra cost, and by 2018 the market was worth $1.6B, with Netflix and Amazon using originals to take on Hulu and homegrown dTV.

First-order effects

  • Japanese subscribers get direct access to Netflix's catalog for the first time, distributed through SoftBank's carrier billing rather than requiring foreign credit cards or separate accounts.
  • Hulu Japan and NTT Docomo-owned dTV, the incumbent local streamers named in later coverage of the market, gain their first head-to-head global rival with an originals budget behind it.

Second-order effects

  • Amazon answers within weeks by folding live streaming into Prime at no additional fee in Japan, turning the contest from price-per-subscription to bundle value against Netflix's à-la-carte model.
  • SoftBank's pre-install arrangement becomes a template other carriers and device makers can be courted with as Netflix rolls out across neighboring Asian markets in early 2016.

Third-order effects

  • If the 2018 picture holds — Netflix and Amazon competing on originals while local services defend niches — Japan's $1.6B streaming market consolidates around two US platforms with homegrown players pushed to differentiate on local content rather than catalog breadth.
  • The pattern of entering each country through a telecom billing partner points toward global streaming being structured less like TV exports and more like mobile-platform distribution, where carrier deals determine who reaches subscribers first.

The trend: Streaming is shifting from a US-centric subscription business to a land-grab for international markets, won through carrier partnerships and originals spending against entrenched local rivals.