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Pandora Opens At $20 Per Share With A Market Cap Of $3.2 Billion

Yesterday, music streaming service Pandora priced its IPO at $16 per share (valuing the company at $2.6 billion).  The company originally set the range of its IPO at $7 to $9 per share, at a market cap of $1.3 billion …

TechCrunch Leena Rao

Context & Ripple Effects

Pandora's first day caps a fast arc: the company filed to go public in February 2011 with 80 million registered users, then priced its IPO on June 14 at $16 a share — nearly double the top of its original $7–$9 range — for a $2.56 billion valuation ($16 pricing). Opening at $20 adds another 25% on top, lifting the market cap to $3.2 billion.

The gap between the original filing range and the open says demand ran far ahead of what underwriters penciled in months earlier, making this one of the stronger consumer-internet debuts since the post-2008 window reopened.

First-order effects

  • Pre-IPO shareholders and employees hold stakes marked up roughly 150% over the original range midpoint — paper gains booked before Pandora has ever reported a quarter as a public company.

Second-order effects

  • A clean debut at a premium to pricing gives other venture-backed consumer web companies a live reference point for their own filings, tightening the queue behind Pandora.

Third-order effects

  • As a listed company, Pandora's royalty-heavy cost structure gets scrutinized quarterly against its ad revenue, putting the economics of ad-supported streaming itself on public display rather than inside private company decks.

The trend: Ad-supported streaming services are graduating from venture funding to public markets in 2011's reopened IPO window, with investor demand repricing them well above initial ranges.