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Apple to Move from Intel to ARM Processors in Future Laptops?

SemiAccurate claims to have heard that Apple will be transitioning from Intel processors to ARM processors in the not too distant future.  —  The short story is that Apple is moving the laptop line, and presumably desktops too, to ARM based chips as soon as possible.

MacRumors Arn

Context & Ripple Effects

SemiAccurate's report lands amid a familiar rhythm: barely a year after AppleInsider reported Apple in advanced discussions to adopt AMD chips, another outlet has Apple looking past its incumbent supplier again — this time at its own ARM-based silicon. The claim covers the laptop line 'as soon as possible,' with desktops presumed to follow.

The reception splits immediately along source lines: VentureBeat's same-day rebuttal argues Apple won't be dumping Intel, and the debate hinges on whether Apple's A-series experience in iPhone and iPad translates to the power and performance envelope of a Mac. With Macs still running x86 OS X software, the transition question is as much about software compatibility as chip supply.

First-order effects

  • If the rumor holds, Intel loses one of its highest-margin, highest-visibility design wins — Apple's entire computer line — and Apple gains full control of its processor roadmap rather than negotiating against AMD alternatives like the 2010 discussions suggested.

Second-order effects

  • Every OS X application vendor faces a recompile-or-emulate decision if the Mac base shifts to ARM, while Intel is pushed to compete harder on the ultraportable power profiles where Apple's mobile-derived chips would have their strongest case.

Third-order effects

  • A successful move would mark the first time a major PC maker replaces commodity x86 chips with vertically integrated silicon designed for its own devices — a structural break with the Wintel supply model that other device makers could then follow.

The trend: Device makers that already design their own mobile processors are increasingly positioned to pull computing platforms away from merchant chip vendors entirely.