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Mac Developer license falls to $99/year, Mac App Store coming?

We're running on pure Ultra 94 Octane Speculation here but might Apple be readying a Mac App Store?  —  Before you hit the Flame button, hear us out.  Today, after that long outage, the App Store came back up with a survey …

9 to 5 Mac Seth Weintraub

Context & Ripple Effects

Two confirmed moves land on the same day: Apple has dropped the Mac Developer license to $99 per year — matching the price of its existing iPhone developer program — and the App Store, back online after a lengthy outage, is now serving developers a survey. 9 to 5 Mac reads those signals together and speculates that Apple may be readying a Mac App Store, explicitly framing the store itself as unconfirmed.

The speculation sits on a real precedent: a 2009 rumor of a premium App Store tier for the iPhone showed Apple was already experimenting with how to segment its mobile storefront, so extending App Store mechanics to the Mac is a live question rather than a fringe idea. If the $99 fee is the entry ticket, the survey suggests Apple is collecting requirements before deciding.

First-order effects

  • Mac developers get a cheaper, standardized on-ramp: at $99/year the Mac program now costs the same as the iPhone program, lowering the barrier for hobbyists and small shops to ship signed Mac software.
  • Developers responding to the in-App-Store survey are directly feeding Apple the data that would shape any desktop storefront's rules, categories, or revenue terms.

Second-order effects

  • If a Mac App Store follows, independent Mac software channels — shareware sites and direct-download vendors who currently set their own prices and update cadences — would compete with a curated Apple storefront carrying Apple's billing and discovery.
  • A unified $99 fee across both programs nudges iPhone developers toward shipping Mac versions, since the marginal cost of joining the Mac program effectively disappears for existing iOS licensees.

Third-order effects

  • The pattern points toward Apple converging its desktop and mobile platforms on a single distribution model — approval-gated storefronts replacing open web distribution as the default path to Mac users, with curation policy becoming the main lever Apple holds over third-party software businesses.

The trend: Apple is extending the App Store's licensed-developer-plus-curated-storefront economics beyond the iPhone, using uniform developer fees and developer surveys to prepare the ground for a Mac equivalent.