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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Symbian handsets still second only to iPhone

A report from mobile analytics firm Motally finds that outside north America, the Symbian operating system used by Nokia still dominates Windows and Android phones.  —  Motally's analysis says the future isn't all about smartphones:

VentureBeat Paul Boutin

Context & Ripple Effects

Motally's finding lands mid-campaign in a war Nokia has been fighting on several fronts at once. Back in November 2007, Symbian publicly dismissed Google Android as a threat, and a month later Canalys already had the iPhone leading Windows Mobile in US share — so the analytics firm's picture of a world where Symbian trails only the iPhone outside North America is a reminder that the battleground splits sharply by region.

The report also arrives while Nokia is pressing Apple hard: two patent suits filed in early January 2010 over GSM standards, an ITC request seeking an import ban on Apple devices, and a 2010 Symbian UI refresh built on Qt after the S^4 demo in December 2009. Against that, discussion of CES 2010 framed Android as the software-platform story of the year, with surveys noting Android finally roiling the smartphone market after a slow start.

First-order effects

  • Developers and publishers chasing global reach cannot treat this as an iPhone-versus-Android race: outside North America, Symbian remains the volume platform behind the iPhone, so shipping without it forfeits most non-US handsets.
  • Nokia's legal pressure on Apple — the GSM patent suit and the pending ITC import-ban request — now sits on top of a market-position claim (Motally's) that gives Nokia leverage beyond its own device sales.

Second-order effects

  • Android's post-CES momentum puts it on a collision course with Symbian exactly where Symbian is strongest, forcing Nokia to make its Qt-based 2010 UI overhaul convincing enough to hold the low and mid tier against cheaper Android hardware.
  • Analytics firms like Motally gain standing as arbiters of the regional-share narrative, and their North America-skewed or globally-split readings will shape which platforms developers prioritize next.

Third-order effects

  • If regional splits persist, the industry consolidates into a multi-polar OS map rather than a single winner-take-all platform — with Symbian's fate tied less to headline US share than to whether its developer ecosystem survives Android's advance in the markets where it dominates.

The trend: Smartphone platform share is splitting along regional lines, with North American narratives centered on iPhone and Android undercounting Symbian's grip elsewhere even as Android's rise pressures it directly.